IIARD International Journal of Economics and Business Management (IJEBM )

E-ISSN 2489-0065
P-ISSN 2695-186X
VOL. 10 NO. 8 2024
DOI: 10.56201/ijebm.v10.no8Sept.2024.pg162.178


Exchange Rate Variation and Export of Agricultural Produce in Nigeria

KOWGU, Mercy Ngozi, Prof. OBI, Callistar Kidochukwu


Abstract


This study examined the effect of exchange rate variation on the export of agricultural produce in Nigeria.DataforthisstudyweresourcedfromWorldDevelopmentIndicators – WDI, Central Bank of Nigeria, Statistical Bulletin and Annual Reports for the various years, and the National Bureau of Statistics. The data covered a period of35 years 1986 – 2021. The analysis began with a descriptive statistic, unit root test and a co-integration test to ascertain the suitability of the data that entered the model. Thereafter, the VAR estimation technique was used in estimating the model for this study. The variables of the model include: Agricultural Export, Exchange Rate Variation, Trade Openness, Agricultural Finance and Agricultural Employment. The results show that EXRV, TOPEN, AGRFIN and AGREM Pexerta positive affection AGRXPT. The study therefore concludes that EXRV, TOPEN, AGRFIN and AGREMP play a vital role in enhancing the export of agricultural produce in Nigeria. Based on that, the study recommends increased domestic production of agricultural produce, implementation of export oriented policies that will engender increased foreign exchange inflows towards a stable exchange rate system and adequate training and extension services to boost the competence of the labour force in the agricultural sector.



References:


Abayomi, G.O. (2019). Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on the Nigerian Manufacturing
Sector, International Journal of Social and Management Sciences, 2 (2): 23-40
Adamgbe, E. T., Belonwu M. C., Ochu, E. R &Okafor I. I (2020), Analysis of the impact of

Central Bank of Nigeria's agricultural intervention funds on the economy, Central

Bank of Nigeria Economic and Financial Review, 58(1), 57-80.
Adeoye, A., & Ojo, J. (2020). The Role of Agricultural Financing in Improving the Quality

of Agricultural Produce for Export. Journal of Agricultural Economics, 5(2), 150-160.
Adubi, A. A. &Okunmadewa, F. (1999). Price, Exchange Rate Variation and Nigeria’s

Agricultural Trade Flows: A Dynamic Analysis. African Economic Research

Consortium (AERC) Research Paper, N0. 87.
Ajani, E. (2023). Obstacles to Agricultural Financing in Nigeria: A Study of Farmers in

Rural Areas. Nigerian Journal of Rural Development, 12(1), 45-58.
Ajayi, A.V.B. JibroVerr, O.B Awopetu & Adekunle, S O (2015), The effect of government

expenditure on agricultural output in Nigeria (1981-2018), GPN Journal of Applied

Management Science, 1-14.
Akinbode, S. O. & Ojo, O. T. (2018). The effect of exchange rate variation on agricultural

exports in Nigeria: An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds test approach.

Nigerian Journal of Agricultural Economics (NJAE), 8(1), 11- 19.
Alegwu, F. O, Aye, G.C & Asogwu, B. C (2018). Effect of Real Exchange Rate Variation on

Agricultural Export in Nigeria. Agris on- line Papers in Economics and Informatics

vol 3 (9)September 2018.
Babatunde, M. A. & Shuaibu, M. I. (2012). Exchange rate movements and agricultural

exports in Nigeria. Asian- African Journal of Economics and Econometrics,

12(1): 177-193.Central Bank of Nigeria (2009). Statistical Bulletin. Vol.20,

December, 2009.
Beck T and Demirguc-kunt,A(2006) . Small and Medium Size Enterprise; Access to finance

as a Growth Constriant. Journal of Banking and Finance. 30, 2931-2943
Central Bank of Nigeria (2011). Statistical Bulletin. Vol.22, December, 2011
Central Bank of Nigeria (2018). Statistical Bulletin. Vol.29, December, 2018
Central Bank of Nigeria. (2007), Agriculturalcredit guarantee scheme fund of Nigeria

(ACGSF): An Impact Assessment. a Study Conducted by Centre for Resource

Analysis and Management for Central Bank of Nigeria.
Central Bank of Nigeria. (2017). Development Finance. Retrieved from Central Bank of

Nigeria Main Website: www.cbn.gov.ng.
Central Bank of Nigeria. (2018), CBN Statistical Bulletin. Retrieved from CBN Website:

http://www.cenbank.org
Chukwunenye, I., Okafor, E., & Obi, P. (2021). Impact of Agricultural Financing on

Employment Generation in Nigeria. African Journal of Economic Policy, 8(3), 27-34.
Enekwe, C. I., Ordu, M. M. & Nwoha, C. (2013). Exchange rate fluctuations on

manufacturing sector in Nigeria. European Journal of Business and Management,

5(22) 67-73.
Egbetokun, A., Adediran, O., & Ogunyemi, K. (2020). Risk Mitigation Strategies in

Agricultural Financing in Nigeria. Journal of Financial Management in Agriculture,

10(4), 72-85.
Ettah, B. E., Akpan, O. D. & Etim, R. S. (2011). Effects of price and exchange rate

fluctuations on agricultural exports in Nigeria.International Journal of Economic

Development Research and Investment, 2 (1):2-10.
FAO (2021). The State of Food and Agriculture. Food and Agriculture Organization of the

United
Nations.
Retrieved
from

[FAO](https://www.fao.org/publications/sofa/2021/en/)
Feder, G., L. J. Lau, J. Y. Lin &Xiaopeng, L (1989) Agricultural credit and farm performance

in China. Journal of Comparative Economics, 13(4),508-526.
Foltz, J. D. (2004), Credit market access and profitability in Tunisian agriculture.

Agricultural
Economics,
30
(3),
229-240,
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1574-

0862.2004.tb00191.xFlorence, N. and Nathan, S.(2020).The effect of commercial

banks’ agricultural crediton agricultural growth in Uganda. African Journal of

Economic Review, 3(1),162-175.
Fowowe, B. (2020). The effects of financial inclusion on agricultural productivity in Nigeria.

Journal of Economics and Development, 22(1), 61 – 79.
Gatawa, N.M. & Mahmud, A.A. (2017). Impact of exchange rate fluctuations on

Agricultural exports (crops) in Nigeria. International Journal of Humanities and

Social Science Invention, 6(3), 65-71.
G20 Global Partnership for Financial Inclusion (GPFI) (2015), Synthesis Report on New

Trends in Agricultural Finance, G20 Global Partnership for Financial Inclusion, SME

Finance Sub group.
IFC (2011), Scaling up access to finance for agricultural SMEs: Policy Review and

Recommendations, Washington, DC, IFC. Jhingan, M.L. (2005). Macroeconomic

Theory. 3rd Edition. Delhi: Konark Publishers.

Joseph, A. & I. Akhanolu (2011). An Empirical Investigation of the Link between Exchange

Rate Variation and Trade in Nigeria. Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and

Management Sciences (JETEMS), 2 (3): 175-183.
Matthew, A & Mordecai, B. (2016). The Impact of public agricultural expenditure on

agricultural output in Nigeria (1981-2014); Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension,

Economics & Sociology 11(2), 1-10.
Marafa, A (2022), Agricultural Financing and Productivity Nexus in Nigeria, Agricultural

Financing in Nigeria.
Nwankwo, A. (2022). Sustainable Agricultural Practices and Export Competitiveness: The

Nigerian Experience. International Journal of Sustainable Agriculture, 16(2), 88-97.
Obilor, F. (2019). Agricultural Lending and Production Enhancement: An Analysis of

Nigeria's Agricultural Sector. Journal of Agricultural Finance, 14(1), 100-110.
Odili, D. (2014). Exchange Rate and Balance of Payment: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag

(ARDL). An Econometric Investigation on Nigeria, IOSR, Journal of Economics and

Finance, 4 (6): 21-30.
OECD. (2021). Agricultural Policy Monitoring and Evaluation 2021. Organisation for

Economic
Co-operation
and
Development.
Retrieved
from

[OECD](https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/agriculture-and-food/agricultural-policy-

monitoring-and-evaluation-2021_ad8d87ae-en).
Ogunkoya, O. A. &Shobayo, P.B. (2014). Exchange rate and Agricultural Exports in Nigeria.

Available at SSRN:http://ssrn.com/abstract=2642926.
Okafor, C. A. (2020). “Commercial banks credit and agricultural development in Nigeria”.

International Journal of Business & Law Research, 8(3), 89 – 99.
Okigbo, P.M. (2019). Essays in Public Philosophy of Development – Lectures on the

Structure Adjustment Programme (SAP), 4 (1), Fourth Dimension.
Okorontah, C.F. & Odoemena, I.U. (2016). Effects of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on

Economic Growth of Nigeria, International Journal of Innovative Finance and

Economics Research 4(2)1-7.
Orji, A., Ogbuabor, J. E., Anthony-Orji, O. I. and Alisigwe, J. N. (2020). Agricultural

financing and agricultural output growth in developing economies: Any causal

linkage in Nigeria? International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk

Management, 2, 34 – 43.
Osabohien, R., Adeleye, N. and Alwis, T. D. (2020). Agro-financing and food production in

Nigeria. Heliyon, 6, 1 – 8.
Osabohien, R., Mordi, A. and Ogundipe, A. (2020). Access to credit and agricultural sector

performance in Nigeria. African Journal of Science, Technology, Innovation and

development 1- 10.
Osabohien, R., Osuagwu, E., Osabuohien, E., Ekhator-Mobayode, U. E., Matthew, O. and

Gershon, O. (2020). Household access to agricultural credit and agricultural

production in Nigeria: A propensity score matching model. South African Journal of

Economic and Management Studies 23(1), a2688.
Oyejide, T. A. (1986). The Effects of Trade and Ex


DOWNLOAD PDF

Back


Google Scholar logo
Crossref logo
ResearchGate logo
Open Access logo
Google logo