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Analysis of Impact and Survival Instincts in Nigeria’s Population Dynamics: Outlook of Poverty and Hunger to Year 2035

Rex Oforitse Aruofor, Ph.D, Daniel Risiagbon Ogbeide, Ph.D

Abstract

Nigeria belongs to the league of the fastest growing countries in the world with a population of 185 million people as at 2016. Nigeria has struggled against demographic tide since independence, and there are widening gaps in poverty and employment. With a population, exceeding 237 million in 2025 and growing rapidly, which presents both a potential demographic dividend and a significant development challenge, Sustainable development is hampered by rapid urbanization and unemployment, requiring improved economic policies. Wide spread poverty, unemployment, inadequate infrastructure, and environmental degradation are exacerbated by rapid population growth. Population dynamics in sociology is the study of how human populations change in size, structure, and composition over time, driven by birth rates, death rates, and migration. It analyzes social, economic, and environmental factors influencing these changes, such as urbanization, education, and government policy. This field helps predict future needs, such as aging populations or resource management. This study is an attempt to analyze the population dynamics of Nigeria, with respect to poverty and hunger on the one hand and employment, education and insecurity on the other in order to aid understanding of the survival instincts among Nigerian citizens as well as aid better policies using the total differential modeling approach (Ecostatometrics) and Markov Chains Analysis. The result indicates that poverty and hunger will continue to grow and population growth and unemployment will worsen the situation of insecurity in the economy except Government, as recommended, transforms the economic and industrial landscape of the entire country and evolve strategies to stem population growth especially in the northern region. Key words: Population dynamics, Poverty, Hunger, Employment, total differential modeling approach, Markov Chains and Outlook.

Keywords

Population dynamicsPovertyHungerEmploymenttotal differential modeling approachMarkov Chains and Outlook.

References

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