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The Liquidity Impact of the Tick Size Reduction on the Underlying Stock Market: Evidence from the HO CHI MINH Stock Exchange

Nguyen Thi Linh Chi, Do Thi My Trang, Do Minh Chau

Abstract

On 12 September 2016 the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) implemented a tick-size reduction (from VND100 to VND10 for prices < VND10,000 and to VND50 for prices between VND10,000–VND50,000). This paper examines the short- and long-term impact of that regulatory change on market liquidity using daily data for VN30 and VNMidcap constituents. We construct five liquidity proxies (trading volume, turnover value, turnover rate, Amihud illiquidity, and Martin’s liquidity index) and employ two empirical approaches: event-window pre/post ratio tests (one-tailed t-tests) and dummy-variable regressions controlling for time trends and expiration effects. Results show a significant short-term increase in volume-based measures (trading and turnover volumes), particularly for VN30 stocks, but mixed or negative effects for price-impact measures (Amihud, Martin). In the long-term, t-tests indicate increased volume measures over a six-month horizon, yet dummy regressions that control for an upward trend in trading activity attribute most long-run volume gains to an underlying time trend rather than the tick reduction. Overall, the evidence suggests the tick-size reduction produced a temporary boost to trading activity but did not unambiguously improve deeper aspects of liquidity (price impact and resilience) on HOSE.

References

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Emerging Markets Review, 4(1) 1–24. Pruitt, S.W., Van Ness, B.F. and Van Ness, R.A. (2000). The Impact of the Reduction in Tick Increments in Major US Markets on Spreads, Depth, and Volatility, Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 15(2), 153-167. Verousis, T., Perotti, P. & Sermpinis, G. (2018). One size fits all? High frequency trading, tick size changes and the implications for exchanges: market quality and market structure considerations. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 50(2), 353-392. APPENDICES Table 2: Liquidity impact on VN30-index stocks over the event window The research samples consist of 30 companies that are included in the VN30-index. This method employs 5 daily liquidity measures: Trading volume, Turnover volume, Turnover rate, Amihud Illiquidity and Martin Liquidity. The underlying implications and analytical expression for each liquidity measures are defined in the previous section. For each security, the time-weighted average of each liquidity measure is calculated for both the event-window period and the pre-period, [-152, -23]. The ratio of the average computed over the event-widow period divided by that computed over the pre-periods is calculated. Then, a one-sided t-test is used to test the null hypothesis that the mean of the ratios of 30 sample stocks is equal to one. Time interval Trading volume Turnover volume Turnover rate Amihud's Illiquidity Martin Liquidity Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios > 1 Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios > 1 Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios > 1 Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios < 1 Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios < 1 [-22, 22] 1.1858* (1.0809) 0.5333 1.2174* (1.0314) 0.5333 1.1162 (0.98) 0.5 1.1084* (0.9236) 0.6667 1.2112* (0.953) 0.5333 [-12, 12] 1.2319* (1.0396) 0.5667 1.2721* (1.0078) 0.5333 1.1734 (0.9813) 0.4667 1.168 (0.8964) 0.5667 1.191 (0.9776) 0.5 [-7, 7] 1.1902 (1.1369) 0.5667 1.2137* (1.0236) 0.5 1.138 (1.018) 0.5 1.3559 (0.9827) 0.5333 1.3886* (0.9872) 0.5333 [-22, -8] 1.1367 (0.9179) 0.4 1.181 (0.9664) 0.4333 1.0625 (0.8931) 0.4 1.0629 (1.0431) 0.5 1.2812** (1.0762) 0.3667 [8, 22] 1.2305 (0.9981) 0.5 1.2576 (0.9473) 0.4333 1.1481 (0.9202) 0.4333 0.9062 (0.7542) 0.7 0.9639 (0.6584) 0.6667 *, **, *** and **** denote statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, 1% and 0.1% levels, respectively, using one-tailed t-test. Table 3: Liquidity impact on non-VN30-index stocks over the event window The research samples consist of 70 companies that are not included in the VN30-index. This method employs 5 daily liquidity measures: Trading volume, Turnover volume, Turnover rate, Amihud Illiquidity and Martin Liquidity. The underlying implications and analytical expression for each liquidity measures are defined in the previous section. For each security, the time-weighted average of each liquidity measure is calculated for both the event-window period and the pre-period, [-152, -23]. The ratio of the average computed over the event-widow period divided by that computed over the pre-periods is calculated. Then, a one-sided t-test is used to test the null hypothesis that the mean of the ratios of 30 sample stocks is equal to one. Time interval Trading volume Turnover volume Turnover rate Amihud's Illiquidity Martin Liquidity Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios > 1 Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios > 1 Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios > 1 Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios < 1 Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios < 1 [-22, 22] 1.4161 (0.8968) 0.4143 1.406 (0.8724) 0.4571 1.3783 (0.8837) 0.3857 1.5643** (0.9615) 0.5286 1.4021** (0.8214) 0.5857 [-12, 12] 1.4419 (0.7811) 0.4 1.4429 (0.7454) 0.4 1.3901 (0.7574) 0.3571 1.5629** * (1.05) 0.4714 1.3957** (0.9141) 0.5286 [-7, 7] 1.7258 (0.7666) 0.3571 1.7196 (0.7115) 0.3857 1.6789 (0.734) 0.3571 1.7164** * (0.8588) 0.5286 1.4282* (0.8682) 0.5429 [-22, -8] 0.9869 (0.7822) 0.3714 0.9933 (0.8375) 0.3571 0.9381 (0.7717) 0.3286 1.229888 (0.9468) 0.5286 1.1445 (0.8554) 0.5857 [8, 22] 1.5183** (0.9585) 0.5 1.4879** (0.9048) 0.4429 1.5008* (0.8766) 0.4286 1.7521 (0.5949) 0.6429 1.6338 (0.5515) 0.7143 *, **, *** and **** denote statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, 1% and 0.1% levels, respectively, using one-tailed t-test. Table 4: Long term liquidity impact on VN30-index stocks The research samples consist of 30 companies that are included in the VN30-index. This method employs 5 daily liquidity measures: Trading volume, Turnover volume, Turnover rate, Amihud Illiquidity and Martin Liquidity. The underlying implications and analytical expression for each liquidity measures are defined in the previous section. For each security, the time-weighted average of each liquidity measure is calculated for both the post period and the pre-period, [-152, -23]. The ratio of the average computed over the event-widow period divided by that computed over the pre-periods is calculated. Then, a one-sided t-test is used to test the null hypothesis that the mean of the ratios of 30 sample stocks is equal to one. Time interval Trading volume Turnover volume Turnover rate Amihud's Illiquidity Martin Liquidity Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios > 1 Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios > 1 Mean (Median) Proportio n with ratios > 1 Mean (Median) Proportio n with

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