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Analysis of Bank Lending and the Nigerian Economy

Arepo, Lookman Adeniyi, Andabai, Priye Werigbelegha PhD

Abstract

The study evaluates the effect of commercial banks’ lending on the Nigerian economy; for the period, 1998-2024. Secondary data were collected from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin, 2024. The study used Gross Domestic Product as proxy for the Nigerian economy and used as the dependent variable; whereas, total bank credit, total bank deposits and interest rate as the explanatory variables. The study shows that total bank credit has a positive significant effect on Gross Domestic Product in Nigeria. Total bank deposit has a significant effect on Gross Domestic Product in Nigeria. Interest rate has a positive significant effect on Gross Domestic Product in Nigeria the coefficient of determination indicates that about 68% of the variations in the Nigerian economy can be explains by changes in commercial bank lending variables in Nigeria. The study concludes that bank lending has significantly contributed to economy of Nigeria. The study recommends that for the economy to grow, the investors should be encouraged in form of concessional and reduced interest rate. Regulatory authorities should stabilize the interest rate which is capable of ensuring price stability and maintaining inflation to a single digit. This may build confidence in the banking institutions and will enable them to introduce innovations to boost economic growth in the economy. The policy makers should adopt vibrant economic policies such as interest rate stability, flexible exchange rate, indigenization and economic diversification which will encourage the banks in financing the economy.

Keywords

Commercial Banks’ LendingEconomicPerformanceNigeria

References

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Appendix 1: Bank Lending and the Nigerian Economy (1998-2024) Years Gross Domestic Product (N Billion) Total Bank Credit (N’ Billions) Interest Rate (%) Total Bank Deposits (N’ Billions) 1998 4,805.16 272.90 18.29 314.3 1999 5,482.35 322.76 21.32 476.35 2000 7,062.75 508.30 17.98 702.1 2001 8,234.49 796.16 20.69 947.18 2002 11,501.45 954.63 19.58 1157.11 2003 13,556.97 1,210.03 20.71 1337.29 2004 18,124.06 1,519.24 19.18 1,661.48 2005 23,121.88 1,976.71 17.75 2,036.09 2006 30,375.18 2,524.30 17.26 3,245.15 2007 34,675.94 4,813.49 16.94 5,001.47 2008 39,954.21 7,799.40 15.14 7,960.16 2009 43,461.46 8,912.14 18.99 9,150.04 2010 55,469.35 7,706.43 17.59 9,784.54 2011 63,713.36 7,312.73 16.02 11,452.76 2012 72,599.63 8,150.03 16.79 13,132.09 2013 81,009.96 10,005.59 25.50 13,767.46 2014 90,136.98 12,889.42 20.00 17,185.8 2015 95,177.74 13,086.20 18.72 17,276.67 2016 102,575.42 16,117.20 18.55 18,326.95 2017 114,899.25 63,101.76 18.4 72,561.32 2018 129,086.91 61,669.9 18.4 81,712.43 2019 145,639.14 64,543.74 18.45 81,712.43 2020 154,252.32 62,645.54 18.63 81,635.56 2021 176,075.50 72,423.74 18.9 83,775.42 2022 201,236,503 . 75,545.25 18.45 88,324.32 2023 232,833.75 77,563.23 23.9 86,565.23 2024 258,612.11 78,523.56 18.45 80,311.35 Source: Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin, 2024.

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