Submit your papersSubmit Now
For Enquiries: [email protected]
IIARD LogoIIARD

Interest Rates and Commercial Banks Performance in Nigeria: A Panel Data Study

Sampson Ikenna Ogoke and Amadi Jeff Chizuru

Abstract

This study examined the effect of Nigerian interest rates on the profitability of quoted commercial banks using panel from 2014-2023. The general purpose is to investigate the effect of various components of interest rate on the profitability of commercial banks. Return on equity and earnings per share were modeled as the function of prime lending rate, maximum lending rate, 3months money market rate,6 months money market rate and 12months money market rate. Time series data were sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin while panel data were sourced from Nigeria Exchange Group fact book and financial statement of the quoted commercial banks. Multiple regressions with econometrics view statistical package were used as data analysis techniques. From model 1, the study found that 48 percent of the variation in return on equity of the quoted commercial banks was explained by variation in the interest rate variables in the equation. that maximum lending rate have negative and no significant effect such that a unit increase led to 0.08 percent decrease in return on equity of the quoted commercial banks, prime lending rate and 6months money market rate have positive effect on return on equity of the quoted commercial banks such that a unit increase in the variables led to 0.27 and 3.3 percent increase in return on equity. 12months and 3 =months negatively affected return on equity of the quoted commercial banks that reduces return on equity by 1.2 and 2.7 percent. From model 2, the estimated model found that interest rates as formulated in the model explained 78.3 percent variation in earnings per share of the quoted commercial banks. The independent variables proved that maximum lending rate have negative and no significant effect such that a unit increase led to 0.23 percent decrease in earnings per share of the quoted commercial banks, prime lending rate and 6months money market rate have positive effect on earn

Keywords

Interest RatesCommercial Banks PerformancePanel Data Study

References

Abayomi, T. O. & Adebayo, M. S. (2010). Determinants of interest rates in Nigerian. Journal of Economics and International Finance, 2(12): 261-271. Adebiyi, M. A, & Babatope-Obasa, B. (2004). Institutional framework, interest rate policy and the financing of the Nigerian manufacturing sub-sector. A paper presented at the African Development and Poverty Reduction (The macro-macro linkage) Conference at Lord Charles Hotel Somerset West, South Africa. 13th -15th Oct. Adofu, M. I. & Audu, S. I. (2010). An Assessment of the effect of interest rate deregulation in enhancing agricultural production in Nigeria. Current Research Journal of Economic Theory, 2(2): 82-86. Ahmad, H. I.(2003). Trends in profitability of banks in Nigeria before and during interest rate regulation. Nigerian Deposit Insurance Corporation Quarterly Report, 13(3), 59-82. Akani, H. W., & Lucky, A. L., (2016). Capital structure and shareholders value of commercial banks in Nigeria: A multi-variate study analysis. IIARD International Journal of Economics and Business Management, 2 (5), 1 – 24. Amel, D., C. Barnes, F. Panetta, & Salleo, C. (2002). Interest rate and efficiency in the financial sector; A review of international evidence, Journal of banking and Finance, 10(8), 90-100. Angbazo, L., (2009). Commercial bank net interest margins, default risk, interest-rate risk, and off-balance sheet banking. Journal of banking and Finance, 21(1), 55- 87. Athanasoglou, P.P., Brissimis, S N. & Delis, M. D. (2005). Bank-specific, industry specific and macroeconomic determinants of bank profitability. MPRA Paper, No.153. Ayodele, O. T. (2006). Information content of interest rate spreads in Nigeria. Journal of Monetary Economics, 24, 331-334. Barajas A., Steiner R. & Salazar N., (2006). Interest spreads in banking in colombia, 1975-96, Journal of Development Economics, 8(8), 192-204. Carletti, E., Cerasi, V. & Daltung, S. (2006). Multiple-Bank Lending: Diversification and Freeriding in Monitoring, Working Paper, Department of Statistics: Universita degli Studi di Milano- Bicocca. Craig, Steven G. and Hardee, Pauline (2004).The Impact of Bank Interest rate on Small Business Credit Availability” University of Missouri, September. Damena, B. H. (2011). Determinants of commercial banks profitability: an empirical study on Ethiopian Commercial banks. Addis Ababa University, Department of Accounting and Finance.Retrieved from etd.aau.edu.et/dspace/bitstream/.../1/Belayneh%20Hailegeorgis.pdf. Deger A & Adem A (2011) Bank specific and macroeconomic determinants of commercial bank profitability: Empirical Evidence from Turkey. Business and Economics Research Journal 2(2). 139-152. Enendu, C. I(2000).Determinants of commercial bank interest rate spreads in a liberalized financial system: Empirical Evidence from Nigeria 1989-2000. Economic and Financial Review, 41(4), 89-111. Enyioko N. (2012) Impact of Interest Rate Policy and Performance of Deposit Money Banks in Nigerian. Global Journal of Management and Business Research 12(21), 1-11. Ewert, R., Szczesmy, A. and Schenk, G. (2000). Determinants of Bank Lending Performance in Germany. Schmalenbach Business Review (SBR), 52, 344 – 362. Felicia, O. O. (2011). Determinants of commercial banks lending behaviour in Nigeria. International Journal of Financial Research, 2(2), 1-12. Ho T. & Saunders A.(2006).The Determinants of Bank In-terest Margins: Theory and Empirical Evidence,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 16(4), 581-600. Ituwe, C.E. (2003). Elements of Practical Banking, Ibadan; University Press. 6753p John, P.O. (1998), A Practical Guide to Bank Lending and Administration, Lagos; Du Prince and Pal. Kanwal and Nadeem (2013) The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on the Profitability of Listed Commercial Banks in Pakistan. European Journal of Business and Arabian Journal of Business and Management Review (OMAN Chapter) 3(11), 186 – 201. Karceski J., Ongena, S. & Smith, D.C. (2004). The impact of bank consolidation on commercial borrower welfare. Journal of Finance, 60(4): 2043-2082. Khrawish, H.A. (2011). Determinants of commercial banks performance: Evidence from Jordan. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, ISSN 1450-2887 Issue 81 (2011). Kolapo, T. F., Ayeni, R. K. a& Oke, M. O. (2012). Credit Risk and Commercial Bank’s Performance in Nigeria: A Panel Model Approach. Australian Journal of Business and Management Research,2(2): 31-38. Lucky, A. L., (2017). Cost of capital and corporate earning of quoted firms in Nigeria: A Multi- Dimensional analysis of quoted firms in Nigeria. Australian Journal of finance and banking review, 1(1), 41-65. Michiru, S. & Tetsuji, O. (2003). Effects of bank interest rate promotion Policy: Evaluating the Bank Law in 1927 Japan Research project undertaken by the authors at the Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI) at the NBER Japan Project Meeting September, Tokyo Naceur B. S., & Goaied, M. (2008). The determinants of commercial bank interest margin and profitability: Evidence from Tunisia. Frontiers in Finance and Economics 5(1), 106–130. Ndung’u N. S. & Ngugi, R. W.(2009).Banking sector interest rate spreads in Kenya. Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis (KIPPRA), Discussion Paper No. 5, Ngerebo-a, T.A., & Lucky, A. L., (2016). Interest rates and deposit money bank’s profitability: Evidence from Nigeria (1980 – 2014). International Journal of Empirical Finance, 5 (1), 22 – 35. Ogunlewe, R.W. (2001).Sensitivity of bank stock returns to market and interest rate risks: an empirical investigation. Nigerian Deposit Insurance Corporation Quarterly Review, 11(4), 1-2, Okoye, V., & Eze, O. R. (2013). Effect of bank lending rate on the performance of Nigerian deposit money banks. International Journal Of Business And Management Review, 1(3), 34-43. Olaladipo, F.O (2011). Determinants of commercial banks lending behaviour in Nigeria. International Journal of Financial Research, 2(2): 1-12. Ongena S. & Smith, D. C. (2000). What determines the number of bank relationships: Cross Country Evidence. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 9(5): 26-56. Osabuohien, E.S.C. (2007). Trade openness and economic performance of ECOWAS members: reflections from Ghana and Nigeria. African Journal of Business and Economic Research, 2(2 & 3): 57-70. Ramadan et. al. (2011) Ramadan IZ, Qais AK, Thair AK (2011). Determinants of bank profitability: Evidence from Jordan. International Journal of Academic Research, 3(4), 180-191. Ramlall, I. (2009). Bank-Specific, industry-specific and macroeconomic determinants of profitability in Taiwanese Banking System: Under panel data estimation. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 34, 160-167.3 Randall R.,(2008).Interest rate spreads in the eastern Caribbean. IMF Working Paper, WP/98/59. Rasheed, O. A. (2010). Interest rate determinants in Nigeria. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 2(3): 1-12. Rose, W. N. (2001). An Empirical Analysis of Interest Rate Spread in Kenya. African Economic Research Consortium, University of Nairobi, Kenya, 3(4): 34-54. Samina, R., & Ayub, M. (2013). The impact of bank specific and macroeconomic indicators on the profitability of commercial banks. Romanian Economic Journal, 16 (23 91-110. Saunders A. & Schumacher L., (2006).The Determinants of Bank Interest Rate Margins: An International Study. Jour- nal of International MSoney and Finance, 19(6), 813-832. Shih, S.H.M.(2003). An investigation into the use of mergers as a solution for the Asian banking sector crisis, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 4(4), 31-49. Staikouras, C. K., & Wood, G. E. (2004). The determinants of European bank profitability. International Busine

More Articles from INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

Bridging Legal, Financial, and Data Governance in Enterprise AI: Emerging Trends

Author: Funmilayo Ashore-Onisemo, Ebehiremen Faith Iziduh, Uchechi Mary-Linda Unamma, Ifeanyichukwu Jeffrey Okwesa

Macroeconomic Policies and Economic Stability in Nigeria

Author: Abel-Tariah Emmanuel Onate, Okon, Ekanem Nsikhe, Nwenyi Francis Onwe

Determinants of Bank Liquidity in Nigeria

Author: Nelson Johnny Ebifemo-ere Stephen