Submit your papersSubmit Now
For Enquiries: [email protected]
IIARD LogoIIARD

Forecasting FDI Inflows from the United States (USA) to Nigeria over Ten Years Period

Adamu Jibrilla

Abstract

The need for a sustainable development makes several if not all countries across the globe to open their economies to foreign investors. Nigeria is not an exception in this direction, as all developing countries aim at attracting quality foreign direct investment in order supplement domestic investment and to explore the positive spill over effects associated with the investments. This study employs up-to-date data on FDI inflows from the United States to Nigeria from 1982 to 2017 sourced from the Bureau of Economic Analysis to forecast the future trend of the FDI inflows and its growth. Out -of -sample forecast has been done using the latest Excel 2016 to provide forecast for the U.S FDI to Nigeria over the next ten years. The study reveals that foreign direct investment from the U.S will maintain a slow positive upward trend with the growth rates of 2 to 3 percent over the forecast periods. The study therefore recommends that both the Government and policy makers should not only sustain the trend but to explore all necessary legal avenues to attract more FDI from U.S into various sectors that have employment and linkage potentials such as the manufacturing and agricultural sectors

Keywords

ForecastUnited StatesNigeriaForeign Direct InvestmentTen Years

References

Adefuye, A. (2013). US foreign investment in Nigeria increases from $5.2 bn to $8 bn. Premium Times Published: May, 2. Alfaro, L., & Chen, M. X. (2014). The global agglomeration of multinational firms. Journal of International Economics, 94(2), 263-276. Asiedu, E. (2002). On the determinants of foreign direct investment to developing countries: is Africa different? World development, 30(1), 107-119. Asiedu, F. B. A. (2013). Theology in a Subjunctive Mood: Reflections on Charles Taylor's A Secular Age. Scottish Journal of Theology, 66(2), 230-240. Bea.gov. (2018). U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). [online] Available at: https://www.bea.gov/ [Accessed 7 Nov. 2018]. Caves, R. E. (2007). Multinational enterprise and economic analysis. Cambridge university press. Comtrade.un.org. (2018). Download trade data | UN Comtrade: International Trade Statistics. [online] Available at: https://comtrade.un.org/data/ [Accessed 11 Jun. 2018]. Dupasquier, C., & Osakwe, P. N. (2006). Foreign direct investment in Africa: Performance, challenges, and responsibilities. Journal of Asian Economics, 17(2), 241-260. Farole, T., & Winkler, D. (Eds.). (2014). Making foreign direct investment work for Sub Saharan Africa: local spillovers and competitiveness in global value chains. The World Bank. Ghebrihiwet, N., & Motchenkova, E. (2017). Relationship between FDI, foreign ownership restrictions, and technology transfer in the resources sector: A derivation approach. Resources Policy, 52, 320-326. Gui-Diby, S. L., & Renard, M. F. (2015). Foreign direct investment inflows and the industrialization of African countries. World Development, 74, 43-57. Lall, S., & Narula, R. (2004). Foreign direct investment and its role in economic development: do we need a new agenda? The European Journal of Development Research, 16(3), 447-464. Lagendijk, A., & Hendrikx, B. (2009). Foreign direct investment. Kitchin, R.; Thrift, NJ (ed.), International Encyclopedia of Human Geography, vol. 1, 243-254. Moran, T. (1999). FDI and Development. Institute for International Economics, Washington, DC. Narula, R., & Marin, A. (2003). FDI spillovers, absorptive capacities and human capital development: evidence from Argentina. Nwogwugwu, N., Emmanuel, A. O., & Egwuonwu, C. (2012). Militancy and Insecurity in the Niger Delta: impact on the inflow of foreign direct investment to Nigeria. Kuwait Chapter of the Arabian Journal of Business and Management Review, 2(1), 23. Pigato, M., & Tang, W. (2015). China and Africa: Expanding economic ties in an evolving global context (Vol. 2). Washington DC: World Bank. Unctad-Ictsd, International Centre for Trade, Sustainable Development, UNCTAD-ICTSD Project on IPRs, & Sustainable Development. (2005). Resource book on TRIPS and development. Cambridge University Press. UNCTAD, G. (2009). World investment report. U.S. Department of State. (2018). Nigeria. [online] Available at: https://www.state.gov/e/eb/rls/othr/ics/2017/af/269767.htm [Accessed 7 Apr. 2018].

More Articles from INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

Bridging Legal, Financial, and Data Governance in Enterprise AI: Emerging Trends

Author: Funmilayo Ashore-Onisemo, Ebehiremen Faith Iziduh, Uchechi Mary-Linda Unamma, Ifeanyichukwu Jeffrey Okwesa

Macroeconomic Policies and Economic Stability in Nigeria

Author: Abel-Tariah Emmanuel Onate, Okon, Ekanem Nsikhe, Nwenyi Francis Onwe

Determinants of Bank Liquidity in Nigeria

Author: Nelson Johnny Ebifemo-ere Stephen