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Estimation of Household Demand Elasticities for Selected Livestock Products Using the Almost Ideal Demand System (Aids) Model in Delta State, Nigeria

Isere, I. N, Nwosu, F. O, ., and Ben-Chendo, G. N, .

Abstract

This study estimated household demand elasticities for selected livestock products—beef, fish, egg, chicken and goat meat—in Delta State, Nigeria. Specifically, the study described the socioeconomic characteristics of household heads, examined factors associated with household expenditure shares for the selected livestock products, and estimated own-price, cross-price and expenditure elasticities. A multistage sampling procedure was used to select 120 household heads, and primary data were collected with a structured questionnaire. Descriptive statistics and an Almost Ideal Demand System model were employed for the analysis. The results show that 95.0% of the respondents were male, the mean age was 43.67 years, mean household size was 6.70 persons, and mean monthly household income was ₦110,125. The estimated own- price elasticities were −0.4869 for beef, −1.1845 for fish, −1.0879 for egg, −1.3146 for chicken and −1.4437 for goat meat, indicating that beef demand was price inelastic while demand for the other products was price elastic. Cross-price elasticities indicated both substitution and complementary relationships among the livestock products. Expenditure elasticities were 0.4588 for beef, 1.4483 for fish, 0.9912 for egg, 1.0684 for chicken and 0.9505 for goat meat, implying that fish and chicken were expenditure-elastic goods, while beef, egg and goat meat were expenditure-inelastic (necessity) goods within the study sample. Major constraints to consumption included high prices, low household income, rapid spoilage and inadequate supply. The study recommends measures to improve domestic livestock production, reduce avoidable price instability, and strengthen household income-earning capacity to improve access to livestock-derived foods.

Keywords

—AIDS model; household demand; livestock products; expenditure elasticity; price elasticity

References

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Socioeconomic characteristics of household heads Characteristic Category Frequency Percentage (%) Mean Sex Male 114 95.00 Female 6 5.00 Age 21–30 8 6.67 31–45 60 50.00 46–60 52 43.33 43.67 Household size 1–4 13 10.83 5–8 85 70.83 9–11 22 18.33 6.70 Education No formal education 7 5.83 Primary education 12 10.00 Secondary education 59 49.17 Tertiary education 42 35.00 Monthly household income (₦) 10,000–49,000 5 4.17 50,000–99,000 48 40.00 100,000–149,000 45 37.50 150,000–199,000 21 17.50 200,000–249,000 1 0.83 110,125 Marital status Single 21 17.50 Married 99 82.50 Monthly beef consumption frequency 1–15 64 53.33 16–30 30 25.00 31–45 24 20.00 46–60 2 1.67 18.50 Monthly fish consumption frequency 1–15 37 30.83 16–30 70 58.33 31–45 10 8.33 46–60 3 2.50 20.38 Monthly egg consumption frequency 1–15 107 89.17 16–30 13 10.83 9.63 Source: Computed from field survey data, 2024. Table 4.2. Almost Ideal Demand System parameter estimates Variable Beef Fish Egg Chicken Goat meat VARIABLES CONSTANT 0.2456***; (0.0326) 0.1379***; (0.0255) 0.0756*; (0.0408) 0.3875***; (0.0260) 0.1401***; (0.0175) LNPB 0.0583***; (0.0067) -0.0034; (0.0029) 0.0245***; (0.0052) 0.2420***; (0.0035) 0.0018; (0.0034) LNPF -0.0222***; (0.0034) 0.0141***; (0.0040) 0.1144***; (0.0034) 0.0022**; (0.0023) LNPE -0.0067; (0.0092) -0.0748***; (0.0060) 0.0246***; (0.0042) LNPC -0.0695***; (0.0079) 0.0589***; (0.0040) LNPG - 0.0446***; (0.0040) LNEXPD 0.0644***; (0.0076) -0.0306***; (0.0070) -0.0592***; (0.0103) 0.0187**; (0.0077) 0.0227***; (0.0049) LNEXPD2 0.0056***; (0.0004) -0.0029** * ; (0.0005) -0.0043***; (0.0007) 0.0003***; (0.0006) 0.0013***; (0.0003) MARITAL STATUS -0.00047; (0.0062) 0.0017*; (0.0090) -0.0007; (0.0093) 0.0028***; (0.0086) -0.0010**; (0.0005) AGE 0.0001***; (0.0005) -0.000009; (0.0001) -0.0001***; (0.0002) 0.00003; (0.0001) -0.00001; (0.0001) HOUSEHOLD SIZE 0.0005***; (0.0005) 0.00005***; (0.0002) -0.0001**; (0.0002) -0.0008***; (0.0002) -0.0001** * ; (0.0001) OCCUPATION 0.0001; (0.0001) 0.00016***; (0.0005) -0.0010**; ((0.0005 -0.0021; (0.0005) -0.0002***; (0.0003) EDUCATION -0.00005**; (0.0001) 0.00008**; (0.0001) -0.00012***; (0.0001) 0.00010**; (0.0001) -0.00007***; (0.0001) HOUSEHOLD INCOME 0.0582***; (0.0067) -0.0003; (0.0029) 0.0245***; (0.0052) 0.0242***; (0.0035) 0.0018; (0.0034) Source: Computed from field survey data, 2024. Note: ***, ** and * denote significance at 1%, 5% and 10%, respectively; standard errors are in parentheses. Table 4.3. Marshallian and Hicksian price elasticities of demand Product Beef Fish Egg Chicken Goat meat LIVEST OCK PRODU CTS MARSHALLI AN / UNCOMPEN SATED ELASTICITY MARSHALLI AN / UNCOMPEN SATED ELASTICITY MARSHALLI AN / UNCOMPEN SATED ELASTICITY MARSHALLI AN / UNCOMPEN SATED ELASTICITY MARSHALLI AN / UNCOMPEN SATED ELASTICITY BEEF -0.4869 0.1749 0.7171 0.3613 -0.0205 FISH 0.0429 -1.1845 -0.0050 0.0389 0.0113 EGG 0.1432 0.0204 -1.0879 -0.2310 0.0951 CHICKE N 0.0898 0.0467 -0.3214 -1.3146 0.2497 GOATM EAT -0.0348 0.4814 0.3017 0.5708 -1.4437 HICKSIAN / COMPENSAT ED ELASTICITY HICKSIAN / COMPENSAT ED ELASTICITY HICKSIAN / COMPENSAT ED ELASTICITY HICKSIAN / COMPENSAT ED ELASTICITY HICKSIAN / COMPENSAT ED ELASTICITY BEEF -0.4372 0.0289 0.9303 0.5182 0.0501 FISH 0.1262 -0.9920 0.3516 0.3014 0.1293 EGG 0.2168 0.1905 -0.7729 0.0090 0.1994 CHICKE N 0.1650 0.2206 0.0008 -1.0775 0.3563 GOATM EAT 0.0355 0.2106 0.6026 0.7923 -1.3442 Source: Estimates from the AIDS model. Table 4.4. Expenditure elasticities of demand Beef Fish Egg Chicken Goat meat Expenditure elasticity 0.4588 1.4483 0.9912 1.0684 0.9505 Source: Estimates from the AIDS model. EDITORIAL NOTE FOR AUTHORS: The manuscript has been language-edited and internally harmonized. Before journal submission, verify the AIDS/QUAIDS specification and exact elasticity formulae against the estimation software output, because the reported model includes a squared expenditure term (LNEXPD2). The numerical results in Tables 4.2–4.4 were retained rather than recalculated.