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Modelling, Simulation, Optimization, And Machine Learning for Photovoltaic System Performance: A Comprehensive Review with Perspectives for High-Irradiance Developing Regions

Oreoluwa Michael Adenuga, Tosin Emmanuel Ariyo, Prof Peter Olabisi Oluseyi

Abstract

Photovoltaic energy conversion has progressed from a laboratory curiosity to the fastest growing electricity generation technology in the world, yet the performance actually delivered by installed systems remains strongly conditioned by modelling quality, design optimization, and operational intelligence. This review synthesizes the literature across five interconnected research streams that jointly determine photovoltaic system performance: physics-based modelling of cells, modules, and arrays; simulation environments and their validation; power electronic conversion and maximum power point tracking; mechanical tracking, orientation, and tilt optimization; and metaheuristic optimization coupled with techno-economic assessment. A sixth, rapidly expanding stream, the application of machine learning and deep learning to solar resource forecasting, performance prediction, and intelligent tracking, is reviewed in depth as the connective layer now being laid over the classical foundations. Particular attention is paid to the translation of these methods to high-irradiance developing regions, where energy access deficits make efficient photovoltaic deployment most valuable while institutional, financial, and maintenance constraints make design errors most costly. The review traces the maturation of diode-based models and their parameter extraction methods, the standardization of performance rating and simulation practice, the consolidation of maximum power point tracking and converter research, the movement from hardware tracking toward predicted orientation scheduling, and the convergence of evolutionary computation with levelized cost analysis in system design. Across streams, a consistent trajectory emerges: predictive intelligence is migrating from hardware to software, from generic assumptions to locally calibrated data, and from single-component optimization to whole-system and lifecycle framing. The review closes by identifying research gaps in regionally validated IJEMT benchmarks, physically audited learning models, equity-aware deployment analytics, and integrated model-to-maintenance pipelines, and by outlining a research agenda for closing them.

Keywords

photovoltaic systems; solar energy; modelling and simulation; maximum power point tracking; genetic algorithms; machine learning; deep learning; levelized cost of energy; developing regions; review

References

designs, evaluation conventions, and training materials would let advances at any scale propagate to the others, and would concentrate scarce regional engineering capacity on adaptation rather than reinvention. 12. Conclusion This review has synthesized the literature across the engineering decision chain that determines photovoltaic system performance: device and array modelling, simulation and validation, operating point control and power electronic integration, orientation and tracking, metaheuristic optimization with techno-economic assessment, and the machine learning layer now being drawn over all of them. The classical streams are mature: diode models and their extraction methods are standardized, simulation environments are validated and increasingly open, maximum power point tracking is consolidated, tracking and tilt optimization are well characterized, and evolutionary optimization coupled with levelized cost analysis defines credible design practice. The learning stream is the active frontier, and its strongest work is distinguished by chronological evaluation discipline, physical plausibility auditing, and deployment architectures that keep human judgment engaged. For high-irradiance developing regions, the synthesis carries a specific message. The binding constraint on efficient photovoltaic deployment is no longer method availability or tool cost; it is regionally validated application. The highest-value research investments are measurement campaigns, locally calibrated benchmarks, and reproducible pipelines built on open tooling, because these convert the global methodological inheritance into locally trustworthy engineering practice. The highest-value deployment investments are design-stage modelling and optimization, because the capital-dominated economics of the technology concentrate lifetime performance in decisions made before installation, and operational intelligence that protects that performance over the asset life. The trajectory across all streams points the same way: predictive intelligence migrating from hardware to software, from generic assumption to local data, and from component optimization to lifecycle and system framing. Research and practice that align with this trajectory, and that carry its benefits deliberately into the regions where energy access needs are greatest, will define the next decade of photovoltaic performance engineering. Declarations

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