Modelling, Simulation, Optimization, And Machine Learning for Photovoltaic System Performance: A Comprehensive Review with Perspectives for High-Irradiance Developing Regions
Abstract
Photovoltaic energy conversion has progressed from a laboratory curiosity to the fastest growing electricity generation technology in the world, yet the performance actually delivered by installed systems remains strongly conditioned by modelling quality, design optimization, and operational intelligence. This review synthesizes the literature across five interconnected research streams that jointly determine photovoltaic system performance: physics-based modelling of cells, modules, and arrays; simulation environments and their validation; power electronic conversion and maximum power point tracking; mechanical tracking, orientation, and tilt optimization; and metaheuristic optimization coupled with techno-economic assessment. A sixth, rapidly expanding stream, the application of machine learning and deep learning to solar resource forecasting, performance prediction, and intelligent tracking, is reviewed in depth as the connective layer now being laid over the classical foundations. Particular attention is paid to the translation of these methods to high-irradiance developing regions, where energy access deficits make efficient photovoltaic deployment most valuable while institutional, financial, and maintenance constraints make design errors most costly. The review traces the maturation of diode-based models and their parameter extraction methods, the standardization of performance rating and simulation practice, the consolidation of maximum power point tracking and converter research, the movement from hardware tracking toward predicted orientation scheduling, and the convergence of evolutionary computation with levelized cost analysis in system design. Across streams, a consistent trajectory emerges: predictive intelligence is migrating from hardware to software, from generic assumptions to locally calibrated data, and from single-component optimization to whole-system and lifecycle framing. The review closes by identifying research gaps in regionally validated IJEMT benchmarks, physically audited learning models, equity-aware deployment analytics, and integrated model-to-maintenance pipelines, and by outlining a research agenda for closing them.
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