Submit your papersSubmit Now
For Enquiries: [email protected]
IIARD LogoIIARD

Co-Optimizing Technical Performance and Community Affordability in Smart Solar Microgrids for Underserved Regions

Nenubari Marvin Komi, Ibukun Olaoluwa Adeniji

Abstract

Solar microgrids represent a technically viable and increasingly cost-competitive pathway to electricity access in underserved regions of sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and the Pacific, yet a disproportionate number of deployed systems experience abandonment or financial collapse within five years of commissioning. This paper argues that such failures reflect not primarily technical inadequacy or affordability barriers in isolation, but a co-optimization failure arising from frameworks that treat these two dimensions as sequential rather than jointly determined design problems. A systematic conceptual synthesis was conducted across 168 peer-reviewed studies, technical reports, and institutional assessments published between 2010 and 2020, following a structured PRISMA-adapted protocol and drawing on multi-criteria optimization theory, energy poverty literature, distributed generation engineering, smart-grid control architectures, and community-level financial modeling. Four primary failure modes emerge from sequential optimization: the tariff-reliability paradox, stranded capacity, technology-community mismatch, and governance vacuum. To address these, the paper develops and theoretically validates a co-optimization framework comprising four integrated modules: a Smart Performance Core, a Community Affordability Engine, a Bidirectional Feedback Mechanism, and an Adaptive Governance Layer. Validation against 23 empirical case studies across 14 countries demonstrates convergent construct validity and internal consistency, with co-optimized systems achieving average operational lifespans 3.2 years longer and revenue collection rates 28 percentage points higher than sequentially optimized counterparts. The framework provides operationalizable principles for system designers, energy planners, and development finance institutions seeking to reduce system abandonment and accelerate equitable energy access in underserved regions.

Keywords

solar microgridsenergy accessco-optimizationcommunity affordabilitytechnical performanceunderserved regionsdistributed generationsmart energy systems

References

[1] International Energy Agency. Energy Access Outlook 2017: From Poverty to Prosperity. Paris: OECD/IEA; 2017. [2] International Renewable Energy Agency. Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2019. Abu Dhabi: IRENA; 2020. [3] World Bank. State of Electricity Access Report 2017: Energizing Development. Washington DC: World Bank; 2017. [4] Mandelli S, Barbieri J, Mereu R, Colombo E. Off-grid systems for rural electrification in developing countries: Definitions, classification and a comprehensive literature review. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2016;58:1621-1646. DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2015.12.338 [5] Bhattacharyya SC, Palit D. Mini-grid based off-grid electrification to enhance electricity access in developing countries: What policies may be required? Energy Policy. 2016;94:166-182. DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2016.04.010 [6] Branker K, Pathak MJM, Pearce JM. A review of solar photovoltaic levelized cost of electricity. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2011;15(9):4470-4482. DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2011.07.104 [7] Parhizi S, Lotfi H, Khodaei A, Bahramirad S. State of the art in research on microgrids: A review. IEEE Access. 2015;3:890-925. DOI: 10.1109/ACCESS.2015.2443119 [8] Guerrero JM, Chandorkar M, Lee TL, Loh PC. Advanced control architectures for intelligent microgrids - Part I: Decentralized and hierarchical control. IEEE Trans Ind Electron. 2013;60(4):1254-1262. DOI: 10.1109/TIE.2012.2194969 [9] Peters J, Sievert M. Impacts of rural electrification revisited - the African context. J Dev Effect. 2016;8(3):384-410. DOI: 10.1080/19439342.2016.1178462 [10] Zerriffi H. Rural Electrification: Strategies for Distributed Generation. New York: Springer; 2011. [11] Ahlborg H, Hammar L. Drivers and barriers to rural electrification in Tanzania and Mozambique. Renew Energy. 2014;61:117-124. DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2012.09.030 [12] Palit D, Chaurey A. Off-grid rural electrification experiences from South Asia: Status and best practices. Energy Sustain Dev. 2011;15(3):266-276. DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2011.07.004 [13] Lasseter RH. Smart distribution: Coupled microgrids. Proc IEEE. 2011;99(6):1074-1082. DOI: 10.1109/JPROC.2011.2114630 [14] Lee J, Callaway DS. The cost of reliability in decentralized solar power systems in sub- Saharan Africa. Nat Energy. 2018;3(11):960-968. DOI: 10.1038/s41560-018-0240-y [15] Narula K, Nagai Y, Pachauri S. The role of decentralized distributed generation in achieving universal rural electrification in South Asia by 2030. Energy Policy. 2012;47:345-357. DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.04.075 [16] Deb K. Multi-Objective Optimization Using Evolutionary Algorithms. New York: Wiley; 2001. [17] Loken E. Use of multi-criteria decision analysis methods for energy planning problems. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2007;11(7):1584-1595. DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2005.11.005 [18] Gamarra C, Guerrero JM. Computational optimization techniques applied to microgrids planning: A review. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2015;48:413-424. DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2015.04.025 [19] Flores-Quiroz A, Palma-Behnke R, Zakeri G, Moreno R. A column generation approach for solving generation expansion planning problems with high renewable energy penetration. Electr Power Syst Res. 2016;136:232-241. DOI: 10.1016/j.epsr.2016.02.011 www.iiardpub.org [20] Burney JA, Naylor RL, Postel SL. The case for distributed irrigation as a development priority in sub-Saharan Africa. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2013;110(31):12513-12517. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1203597110 [21] Bhattacharyya SC. Energy access programmes and sustainable development: A critical review and analysis. Energy Sustain Dev. 2012;16(3):260-271. DOI: 10.1016/j.esd.2012.05.002 [22] van Ruijven BJ, Urban F, Benders RM, et al. Modeling energy and development: An evaluation of models and concepts. World Dev. 2012;40(12):2516-2529. DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2012.05.017 [23] Pachauri S, Mueller A, Kemmler A, Spreng D. On measuring energy poverty in Indian households. World Dev. 2004;32(12):2083-2104. [24] Deichmann U, Meisner C, Murray S, Wheeler D. The economics of renewable energy expansion in rural Sub-Saharan Africa. Energy Policy. 2011;39(1):215-227. DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2010.09.034 [25] Practical Action. Poor People’s Energy Outlook 2010. Rugby: Practical Action Publishing; 2010. [26] Lee J, Callaway DS. The cost of reliability in decentralized solar power systems in sub- Saharan Africa. Nat Energy. 2018;3(11):960-968. [Cited both as [14] and cross-reference; see [14]] [27] Tenenbaum B, Greacen C, Siyambalapitiya T, Knuckles J. From the Bottom Up: How Small Power Producers and Mini-Grids Can Deliver Electrification and Renewable Energy in Africa. Washington DC: World Bank; 2014. [28] Tenenbaum B, Greacen C, Siyambalapitiya T, Knuckles J. From the Bottom Up. Washington DC: World Bank; 2014. [See [27]] [29] Karekezi S, Kithyoma W. Renewable energy strategies for rural Africa: Is the privatisation policy the right answer? Energy Policy. 2002;30(11-12):1071-1086. DOI: 10.1016/S0301- 4215(02)00059-1 [30] Ton DT, Smith MA. The US Department of Energy’s microgrid initiative. Electr J. 2012;25(8):84-94. DOI: 10.1016/j.tej.2012.09.013 [31] Parhizi S, Lotfi H, Khodaei A, Bahramirad S. State of the art in research on microgrids. IEEE Access. 2015;3:890-925. [See [7]] [32] Guerrero JM, Chandorkar M, Lee TL, Loh PC. Advanced control architectures for intelligent microgrids. IEEE Trans Ind Electron. 2013;60(4):1254-1262. [See [8]] [33] Palit D, Chaurey A. Off-grid rural electrification experiences. Energy Sustain Dev. 2011;15(3):266-276. [See [12]] [34] Lenz L, Munyehirwe A, Peters J, Sievert M. Does large-scale infrastructure investment alleviate poverty? Impacts of Rwanda’s electricity access roll-out. World Dev. 2017;89:88- 110. DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.08.003 [35] Sunday EA, Omoegun GO. Integrating solar power solutions in small-scale manufacturing industries in Nigeria. Int J Sci Res Sci Eng Technol. 2018;4(8):832-853. [36] Siano P. Demand response and smart grids - A survey. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2014;30:461-478. DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2013.10.022 [37] Sunday EA, Omoegun GO. Optimizing electrical load distribution for hybrid solar installations in developing economies. Int J Sci Res Mech Mater Eng. 2019;3(6):27-47. DOI: IJSRMME19349 [38] Reichelstein S, Yorston M. The prospects for cost competitive solar PV power. Energy Policy. 2013;55:117-127. DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.11.003 www.iiardpub.org [39] Chaurey A, Kandpal TC. Assessment and evaluation of PV based decentralised rural electrification in an Indian state using remote sensing and GIS. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2010;14(8):2266-2278. DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2010.04.006 [40] Bazilian M, Onyeji I, Liebreich M, et al. Re-considering the economics of photovoltaic power. Renew Energy. 2013;53:329-338. DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2012.11.029 [41] Christopher M, Peck H. Building the resilient supply chain. Int J Logistics Manag. 2004;15(2):1-14. DOI: 10.1108/09574090410700275 [42] Okonkwo CS, Ogunwole O, Okeke OT. Model for inventory availability and plant uptime improvement in energy facilities. IRE Journals. 2018;2(4):160-172. DOI: 10.64388/IREV2I4-1713120 [43] Yadoo A, Cruickshank H. The role for low carbon electrification technologies in poverty reduction and climate change strategies. Energy Policy. 2012;42:591-602. DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2011.12.024 [44] Yadoo A, Cruickshank H. The role for low carbon electrification technologies. Energy Policy. 2012;42:591-602. [See [43]] [45] Dunn B, Kamath H, Tarascon JM. Electrical energy storage for the grid: A battery of choices. Science. 2011;334(6058):928-935. DOI: 10.1126/science.1212741 [46] World Bank. State of Electricity Access Report 2017. Washington DC: World Bank; 2017. [See [3]] [47] Obriki OD, Arumosoye OM. Conceptual framework for human error causation in high-risk construction and industrial activities. Int J Multidiscip Res Growth Eval. 2020;1(5):715- 727. DOI: 10.54660/.IJMRGE.2020.1.5.715-727 [48] Arumosoye OM, Obriki OD. A governance-oriented conceptual model for contractor safety performance in multi-contract industrial projects. Int J Multidiscip Res Growth Eval. 2020;1(5):728-740. DOI: 10.54660/.IJMRGE.2020.1.5.728-740 [49] Szabo S, Bodis K, Huld T, Moner-Girona M. Energy solutions in rural Africa: Mapping electrification costs of distributed solar and diesel generation versus grid extension. Environ Res Lett. 2011;6(3):034002. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034002 [50] Soshinskaya M, Crijns-Graus WH, Guerrero JM, Vasquez JC. Microgrids: Experiences, barriers and success factors. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2014;40:659-672. DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2014.07.198 [51] Zerriffi H. Rural Electrification: Strategies for Distributed Generation. New York: Springer; 2011. [See [10]] [52] Bhattacharyya SC. Energy access programmes. Energy Sustain Dev. 2012;16(3):260-271. [See [21]] [53] Obogo SF, Arumosoye OM, Obriki OD. Critical review of occupational safety management systems in oil and gas maintenance projects. Shodhshauryam Int Sci Refereed Res J. 2020;3(4):145-166. DOI: 10.32628/SHISRRJ214442 [54] Womack JP, Jones DT. Lean Thinking: Banish Waste and Create Wealth in Your Corporation. New York: Simon and Schuster; 2003. [55] Stadtler H. Supply chain management and advanced planning: Overview, status quo and future trends. Eur J Oper Res. 2005;163(3):575-588. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2004.08.001 [56] Tang CS. Perspectives in supply chain risk management. Int J Prod Econ. 2006;103(2):451- 488. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijpe.2005.12.006 [57] Armbrust M, Fox A, Griffith R, Joseph AD, Katz RH, Konwinski A, et al. A view of cloud computing. Commun ACM. 2010;53(4):50-58. DOI: 10.1145/1721654.1721672 www.iiardpub.org [58] Mbonu IS, Iwuanyanwu U, Aliliele C, Uzoka E. A conceptual framework for agile supply chain digital transformation with embedded IT risk and ISO compliance controls. Iconic Res Eng J. 2020;3(11):566-593. DOI: 10.64388/IREV3I11-1714916 [59] Toth C, Jóźków G. Remote sensing platforms and sensors: A survey. ISPRS J Photogramm Remote Sens. 2016;115:22-36. DOI: 10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2015.10.004 [60] Dagodzo D, Ahiaeke Patrick MC. UAV-based pipeline and corridor monitoring: A review of current practices and emerging technologies. IRE Journals. 2020;3(10):574-597. DOI: 10.64388/IREV3I10-1716084 [61] Sunday EA, Omoegun GO, Essien MA, Oluokun OA. Thermodynamic efficiency and control strategies in residential air conditioning systems. Int J Sci Res Civil Eng. 2019;3(3):52-76. [62] Sunday EA, Omoegun GO, Essien MA, Oluokun OA. Transitioning from reactive to predictive maintenance in mechanical systems. Int J Sci Res Comput Sci Eng Inf Technol. 2020;6(6):425-447. [63] Yeboah BK, Ike PN. Programmatic strategy for renewable energy integration: Lessons from large-scale solar projects. Int J Multidiscip Res Growth Eval. 2020;1(3):306-315. DOI: 10.54660/.IJMRGE.2020.1.3.306-315 [64] Sterman JD. Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Boston: Irwin/McGraw-Hill; 2000. [65] Senge PM. The Fifth Discipline: The Art and Practice of the Learning Organisation. New York: Doubleday; 1990. [66] Aminu-Ibrahim AY, Ogbete JC, Ambali KB. Capital project delivery models for high risk healthcare infrastructure in developing national health systems. Iconic Res Eng J. 2019;2(10):626-649. DOI: 10.64388/IREV2I10-1713588 [67] Preker AS, Harding A, Travis P. Make or buy decisions in the production of health care goods and services: Do not forget the institutional dimension. Bull World Health Organ. 2000;78(6):779-790. [68] Kotter JP. Leading Change. Boston: Harvard Business School Press; 1996. [69] Prosci. Best Practices in Change Management: 2014 Edition. Fort Collins: Prosci Research; 2014. [70] Dyer JH, Singh H. The relational view: Cooperative strategy and sources of interorganizational competitive advantage. Acad Manag Rev. 1998;23(4):660-679. DOI: 10.5465/amr.1998.1255632 [71] Kleindorfer PR, Saad GH. Managing disruption risks in supply chains. Prod Oper Manag. 2005;14(1):53-68. DOI: 10.1111/j.1937-5956.2005.tb00009.x [72] Reason J. Managing the Risks of Organizational Accidents. Aldershot: Ashgate; 1997. [73] Narula K, Nagai Y, Pachauri S. Role of decentralized distributed generation. Energy Policy. 2012;47:345-357. [See [15]] [74] Chambers R, Conway G. Sustainable Rural Livelihoods: Practical Concepts for the 21st Century. IDS Discussion Paper 296. Brighton: Institute of Development Studies; 1992. [75] Scoones I. Sustainable Rural Livelihoods: A Framework for Analysis. IDS Working Paper 72. Brighton: Institute of Development Studies; 1998. [76] Deichmann U, Meisner C, Murray S, Wheeler D. The economics of renewable energy expansion. Energy Policy. 2011;39(1):215-227. [See [24]] [77] Lasseter RH. Smart distribution: Coupled microgrids. Proc IEEE. 2011;99(6):1074-1082. [See [13]] www.iiardpub.org [78] Soshinskaya M, Crijns-Graus WH, Guerrero JM, Vasquez JC. Microgrids: Experiences, barriers and success factors. Renew Sustain Energy Rev. 2014;40:659-672. [See [50]] [79] Watson HJ, Wixom BH. The current state of business intelligence. Computer. 2007;40(9):96- 99. DOI: 10.1109/MC.2007.331 [80] Hopkins A. Failure to Learn: The BP Texas City Refinery Disaster. Sydney: CCH Australia; 2008. [81] Tapscott D, Tapscott A. Blockchain Revolution: How the Technology Behind Bitcoin Is Changing Money, Business, and the World. New York: Penguin; 2016. [82] IRENA. Renewable Energy Statistics 2019. Abu Dhabi: International Renewable Energy Agency; 2019. [83] Palit D, Chaurey A. Off-grid rural electrification experiences. Energy Sustain Dev. 2011;15(3):266-276. [See [12]] [84] Watts AC, Ambrosia VG, Hinkley EA. Unmanned aircraft systems in remote sensing and scientific research: Classification and considerations of use. Remote Sens. 2012;4(6):1671- 1692. DOI: 10.3390/rs4061671 [85] Longley PA, Goodchild MF, Maguire DJ, Rhind DW. Geographic Information Systems and Science. 2nd ed. Chichester: Wiley; 2005. [86] Williams Z, Lueg JE, LeMay SA. Supply chain management: The elusive concept and definition. Int J Logistics Manag. 2008;19(2):151-159. DOI: 10.1108/09574090810895648 [87] Krause DR, Handfield RB, Tyler BB. The relationships between supplier development, commitment, social capital accumulation and performance improvement. J Oper Manag. 2007;25(2):528-545. DOI: 10.1016/j.jom.2006.05.007 [88] Ellis F. Rural Livelihoods and Diversity in Developing Countries. Oxford: Oxford University Press; 2000. [89] Hollnagel E. Barriers and Accident Prevention. Aldershot: Ashgate; 2004. [90] Grimsey D, Lewis MK. Evaluating the risks of public private partnerships for infrastructure projects. Int J Project Manag. 2002;20(2):107-118. DOI: 10.1016/S0263-7863(00)00040- 5 [91] World Bank. World Development Report 2008: Agriculture for Development. Washington DC: World Bank; 2007. [92] Zhang GP. Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model. Neurocomputing. 2003;50:159-175. DOI: 10.1016/S0925-2312(01)00702-0 [93] Nnaji EC, Adgidzi D, Dioha MO, Ewim DRE, Huan Z. Modelling and management of smart microgrid for rural electrification in sub-Saharan Africa: The case of Nigeria. Electr J. 2019;32(10):106672. DOI: 10.1016/j.tej.2019.106672

More Articles from INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENGINEERING AND MODERN TECHNOLOGY