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Cross-Modal Attention Fusion for Clinical Risk Prediction: Integrating EHR Data with Dual-Attribution Explain ability

Uche Carine Ekemezie,, Glory Ohunyon, and Emily Sydney

Abstract

Clinical prediction models have historically relied on structured electronic health record data, leaving the rich prognostic signal embedded in free-text clinical documentation systematically underutilized. The proposed Clinical Multimodal Adaptive Clinical Prediction architecture — a dual-pathway prediction system integrating structured EHR features through gradient-boosted tree processing with unstructured clinical note embeddings through Clinical BERT encoding, unified by a cross-modal attention mechanism that weighs each modality's contribution by predictive confidence. The architecture is designed for geriatric acute care settings where clinical notes capture disease severity, symptom trajectory, and functional context unavailable from structured data alone. A federated fine-tuning protocol enables privacy- preserving multi-institutional model development across health systems with different EHR platforms and patient populations. An attribution framework combining SHAP-based structured feature importance with Integrated Gradients note concept attribution provides role-differentiated clinical explanations, with a concordance quality badge signalling modality alignment. A governance framework specifies deployment standards, post-market performance monitoring, and equity evaluation protocols calibrated to multi-site clinical NLP systems. The CMACP framework addresses the technical and governance requirements for safe deployment of multimodal clinical AI in settings where older adult patients are most vulnerable to prediction errors. External validation across multiple health system types, equity stratification by race and documentation quality environment, and prospective evaluation of attribution quality are identified as priority research requirements. Index Terms — multimodal clinical AI; cross-modal attention; ClinicalBERT; structured EHR; natural language processing; dual attribution; federated learning; explainability

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