Household Survey and Geospatial Analysis of Urban Land Use Changes in Uyo Capital City, Akwa Ibom State
Abstract
This study provides a comprehensive assessment of urban expansion in Uyo Capital City from 1986 to 2024, utilizing remote sensing, GIS, and socio-economic analysis. The findings reveal substantial land use/land cover transformations, particularly the decline in forest cover and agricultural land, and a significant increase in built-up areas. NDVI analysis confirmed a notable reduction in vegetation due to infrastructural development. Population and economic growth emerged as the dominant drivers of urban expansion, corroborated by weighted average analysis, while secondary factors such as infrastructure and policy also contributed. Farmland loss was and land use transformations was identified as the most critical impact, underscoring threats to food security and ecosystem services. The spatial pattern of urbanization followed a concentric model driven by road infrastructure and socio-economic dynamics, with pronounced growth in southeastern Uyo and surrounding LGAs. Future projections using the MOLLUSC model suggest that by 2050, built-up areas will increase by 79%, with corresponding declines in agricultural land, forests, and water bodies. These findings call for proactive, sustainable land-use strategies and integrated urban planning to address the challenges posed by rapid urbanization, ensuring ecological sustainability, socio- economic equity, and spatial resilience in Uyo Capital City and similar urbanizing regions.
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