Submit your papersSubmit Now
For Enquiries: [email protected]
IIARD LogoIIARD

Religion and Party Preference in the 2015 and 2019 Taraba State Governorship Elections, Nigeria

Murtala, Mohammed, Prof. George A. Genyi, Prof. Ogah M. Ari

Abstract

Religion has long occupied a contentious and influential position in Nigeria’s political landscape, often shaping party preference through identity cleavages that intensify sectarian mobilization and undermine issue-based democratic choice. In a plural society where electoral competition frequently aligns with ethno-religious divisions, concerns persist that religion may distort rational political participation and threaten inclusive governance. These challenges necessitated an empirical examination of Religion and Party Preference in the 2015 and 2019 Taraba State Governorship Elections. The study aimed to investigate the extent to which religious affiliation influenced party preference across the two electoral cycles and to determine whether its role changed over time. Anchored on Identity Politics Theory, the study justified that political behavior in deeply divided societies is often structured around shared identities, including religion, which serve as mobilizing instruments for political actors and as cognitive frameworks for voters’ choices. A survey research design was adopted, utilizing structured questionnaires and relevant secondary data. Questionnaire responses were analyzed using simple percentages to determine patterns of religious influence, while secondary data were examined qualitatively through content analysis to contextualize electoral dynamics. Findings revealed that religious affiliation functioned as a powerful determinant of party preference, reinforcing identity cleavages and sectarian mobilization, particularly in 2015. However, although religion remained significant in E-ISSN 2504-883X P-ISSN 2695 2432 2019, its role shifted toward a more integrative and symbolic factor, suggesting strategic political adaptation and a maturation in voter expectations. The study recommends that political stakeholders and the Independent National Electoral Commission implement comprehensive civic education programs promoting issue-based voting and democrati

Keywords

ReligionParty PreferenceElectoral BehaviorTaraba StateGovernorship ElectionsNigeria

References

Campbell, A., Converse, P. E., Miller, W. E., & Stokes, D. E. (1960). The American voter. University of Chicago Press. Castells, M. (1997). The power of identity. Blackwell Publishers. Cheeseman, N., & Larmer, M. (2015). Ethnopopulism in Africa: Opposition mobilization in diverse and unequal societies. Democratization, 22(1), 22–50. Durkheim, É. (1995). The elementary forms of religious life (K. Fields, Trans.). Free Press. (Original work published 1912). Egwu, S. (2016). Religion and politics in Nigeria’s Middle Belt. African Conflict and Peacebuilding Review, 6(2), 45–63. Ibrahim, J. (2012). Religion and political competition in Nigeria. Journal of Modern African Studies, 50(3), 439-463. Independent National Electoral Commission . (2019). 2019 governorship election results: Taraba State. Nigerian Electoral Studies, 5(1), 88–95. Jega, A. (2017). Identity politics and elections in Nigeria. Africa Development, 42(4), 67–84. Kukah, M. H. (2018). Religion, politics and power in Northern Nigeria. Journal of Contemporary African Studies, 36(1), 1–17. National Bureau of Statistics . (2020). Demographic statistics and social indicators in Nigeria. Nigerian Statistical Review, 12(2), 45–63. Norris, P., & Inglehart, R. (2011). Sacred and secular: Religion and politics worldwide (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. Omotola, J. S. (2010). Elections and democratic transition in Nigeria under the Fourth Republic. African Affairs, 109(437), 535–553. Omotola, J. S. (2010). Elections and democratic transition in Nigeria under the Fourth Republic. African Affairs, 109(437), 535–553. Pew Research Center. (2019). Religious commitment and public life in Nigeria. Pew Global Religion Review, 14(3), 22–38. Suberu, R. T. (2011). Federalism and ethnic conflict in Nigeria. Publius: The Journal of Federalism, 41(4), 646–670. Suberu, R. T. (2015). Religion and institutions in Nigeria’s federal democracy. Journal of Democracy, 26(2), 102–115. Taylor, C. (1994). The politics of recognition. In A. Gutmann (Ed.), Multiculturalism (pp. 25–73). Princeton University Press. Weber, M. (1978). Economy and society (G. Roth & C. Wittich, Eds.). University of California Press. (Original work published 1922). Yakubu, A. M. (2020). Identity and electoral politics in Taraba State. Nigerian Journal of Political Science, 12(1), 88–105.

More Articles from JOURNAL OF POLITICAL SCIENCE AND LEADERSHIP RESEARCH

The Political Economy of Party Defection in Nigeria’s Fourth Republic

Author: Michun Wakili Dickson, Sabo Okonu 3Irene Chinasa Kekeocha-Christopher

Leadership Support Systems and Organizational Growth in Deposit Money Banks: Evidence from Rivers State, Nigeria

Author: Anireh, Uchenna Nicholas, Onwuanaku, Blessing, Happiness Nwanyi Elekwachi

The Challenges of Adopting the Responsibility to Protect in the Russian/Ukraine War

Author: Richard ThankGod Wabali Chimezie Chukwuemeka Eze