Submit your papersSubmit Now
For Enquiries: [email protected]
IIARD LogoIIARD

Conflict Early Warning Signs and Nigerian Government Response Dilemma: The Case Of Increasing Agitations for Statehood by Indigenous People of Biafra (IPOB) and Movement for the Actualization of Sovereign State of Biafra (MASOB)

Anthony Williams Amamkpa and Paul Uche Mbakwe, Ph.D

Abstract

The basic goal of Conflict Early Warning systems (CEWs) is to prevent loss of lives, economic and material resources. Against the backdrop of a bloody three-year Civil War (1967-1970), the Nigerian Federal Government ought to be wary of the renewed agitation for a Biafra state – a consequence of unfulfilled aspirations of the Igbo population. To forestall a repeat of the past, this paper identifies the early warning signs and proposes proactive early warning responses suitable for a peaceful co-existence of a united Nigeria, as the option of conflict will roll back the progress made so far in nation-building over the years.

References

Acleddata(2016),http://www.acleddata.com (Accessed 02 April, 2016). Alderman, A (2016), Early Warning and the field: A Cago Cult Science? www.berghof.handbook.net (Accessed 29 March, 2016). Betrand,C (2016),http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/quotes/b/bertrandru101224.html (Accessed 19 March, 2016. Bloomberg (2015), bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-03-26/in-country-where-beer-was-once the-currency-a-new-crisis-builds (Accessed February 3, 2016). Burgess, Guy (2016),http://www.beyondintractability.org/contributors/guy-burgess (Accessed 21 March. Corruption Perception Index (2014), https://www.transparency.org/cpi2014/results (accessed 08 May 2015). Davies,J and Gurr,T (eds.) (1998), Preventive Measures: Building Risk Assessment and Crisis Early Warning Systems, (Washington: Rowman and Littlefield Publishers Inc., p.114. Eawarn.ru (2016),http://www.eawarn.ru ,Network for Ethnic Monitoring and Early Warning of Conflict (Accessed March 20, 2016). Ellis (2016), http://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/quotes/h/havelockel108440.html (29 March, 2016). Fragile States Index (2015), http://fsi.fundforpeace.org/rankings-2015, (Accessed 17 March, 2016 Human Development Index, 2014, http://hdr.undp.org/en/composite/HDI, (accessed 15 March 2016). Krummenacher H and Schmeidi,S (2016),Practical Challenges in Predicting Violent Conflict FAST: An Example of a Comprehensive Early Warning Methodology, www.swispeace.ch (Accessed 08 March, 2016). Longman, A (2016),Towards a Conflict Prevention System for the Euro-Mediterranean Areawww.iai.it.asp (Accessed 30 March, 2016).Machel, G. ibid, np Machel,G (2016)-https://www.warchild.org.uk/issues/effects-war-children (Accessed 04 March, 2016). New Africa Political Violence (2016), Version 6, http://www.acleddata.com (accessed 03 February 2016). Nigerian Bureau of Statistics (2012), Social Statistics in Nigeria 2012-Part III (Health, Employment, Public Safety, Population and Vital Registration). Premium Times (2016),www.premiumtimesng.com/news/headlines/189117-outrage-grows across-nigeria-as-buharis-loopsided-appointments-continue.html (accessed 17 March 2016). See NYSC- http://www.nysc.gov.ng/about/about.php (Accessed 23 March, 2016) Seethe 1979 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, Section 14 (3). Swisspeace (2016),http://www.Swisspeace.ch/archive/previous-projects/fast-international.html (Accessed 08 March, 2016). WARN (2016:1), West African Network for Peace building, the Nigeria State and the Biafra Question: Threats to or Opportunity for National Cohesion, WARN Policy Brief, JANUARY 21. Wikipedia (2016),https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conflict_early_warning (Accessed 21 March, 2016).