WORLD JOURNAL OF FINANCE AND INVESTMENT RESEARCH (WJFIR )

E-ISSN 2550-7125
P-ISSN 2682-5902
VOL. 9 NO. 1 2025
DOI: 10.56201/wjfir.v9.no1.2025.pg1.14


Impact of Subsidy Removal on VAT Revenue in Nigeria: A Pre- and Post-Subsidy Analysis

Prof. Aliyu IDRIS, Haruna DZUGWAHI, PhD


Abstract


The removal of fuel subsidies in Nigeria has been a subject of intense debate, with policymakers advocating that the move would enhance government revenue and reduce fiscal burdens. This paper investigates the impact of subsidy removal on Value Added Tax (VAT) revenue in Nigeria by conducting a pre- and post-subsidy analysis. The study employs secondary data spanning six months before and after the subsidy removal, utilising descriptive and inferential statistical methods to analyse trends and draw comparisons. Findings reveal a significant increase in VAT revenue post-subsidy removal, attributed to inflationary effects and heightened consumer prices. The study concludes that while subsidy removal boosts VAT collection, its socioeconomic implications necessitate complementary policies to mitigate the adverse impact on citizens.


keywords:

Subsidy removal, VAT revenue, Nigeria, fiscal policy, inflation


References:


1. Adebayo, T. (2022). The effect of subsidy removal on tax revenue in Ghana. African Journal
of Economics, 14(3), 112-126.
Ajakaiye, D., & Fakiyesi, O. (2020). The macroeconomic effects of subsidy reforms in Nigeria.
Journal of African Development Studies, 15(4), 233-248.
Aminu, S., & Salihu, M. (2019). Fuel subsidy and inflation dynamics in Nigeria: Implications
for revenue mobilisation. Nigerian Journal of Economic Policy, 21(1), 56-72.
International Monetary Fund. (2021). Nigeria: Fiscal policy and the role of subsidy reforms in
enhancing tax revenues. IMF Country Report No. 21/176.
Musgrave, R. (1959). The theory of public finance: A study in public economy. McGraw-Hill.
Nwankwo, C. (2023). Subsidy removal, tax revenues, and inflationary trends in West Africa.
African Journal of Policy and Administration, 19(1), 45-61.
Okafor, I. (2021). Fuel subsidy removal and its impact on VAT revenue in Nigeria. Journal of
Public Policy, 18(2), 89-105.
World Bank. (2022). Nigeria public finance review: The role of taxation in economic
diversification. World Bank Publications.
Yakubu, A., & Bello, M. (2020). VAT revenue performance in Nigeria: An assessment of post-
subsidy removal periods. Nigerian Journal of Fiscal Studies, 25(3), 178-193.


DOWNLOAD PDF

Back


Google Scholar logo
Crossref logo
ResearchGate logo
Open Access logo
Google logo