Journal of Accounting and Financial Management (JAFM )

E-ISSN 2504-8856
P-ISSN 2695-2211
VOL. 10 NO. 8 2024
DOI: 10.56201/jafm.v10.no8.2024.pg329.344


Public Debt Servicing and Economic Growth in Nigeria: 1999- 2023

Joshua, Ngozi Gloria Prof. J. K. J. Onuora


Abstract


Nigeria is currently grappling with the global issue of economic growth. This phenomenon is hindered by the challenges of debt and debt servicing. This study examined public debt servicing and economic growth in Nigeria. The study specifically focused on the effect of domestic debt outstanding and public external debt outstanding on the Gross Domestic Product in Nigeria. The study adopted the ex-post facto research design and data obtained from the CBN Statistical Bulletin, spanning from 1999-2023. The unit root test using ADF showed stationarity at 1(0), 1(1), and 1(2). The hypotheses were tested using the Robust Least Squares model. The results showed a significant positive effect of domestic debt outstanding on GDP and; secondly, a significant negative effect of public external debt outstanding on GDP. Based on these, the study recommends that policymakers should consider strategies to increase and optimize domestic borrowing, ensuring that funds are channelled into productive sectors that drive economic growth. There is a need for a more cautious approach to external borrowing. The government should negotiate favourable terms and ensure that borrowed funds are used for projects with high economic returns. Lastly, the Nigerian government should establish a robust debt management framework that balances domestic and external borrowing; to help mitigate the adverse effects of debt on the economy.


keywords:

Public Debt, Economic Growth, Domestic Debt Outstanding, Public External


References:


Abdullahi, M. M. (2016). External debt, debt overhang, crowding out effects and capital
formation in Nigeria and South Africa (Doctoral Dissertation). Universiti Utara
Malaysia.
Adamu, I. M., & Rasiah, R. (2016). External debt and economic growth: Evidence from
Nigeria. African Journal of Economic Review, 4(2), 1-16.
Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (2009). The Economics of Growth. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Akanbi, A., Uwaleke, U. J., & Ibrahim, U. A. (2022). Effect of external debt service on
economic growth in Nigeria. Journal of Service Science and Management, 15, 437-451.
Akhanolu, I. A., Babajide, A. A., Akinjare, V. A., Tolulope, O., & Godswill, O. (2018). The
effect of public debt on economic growth in Nigeria: An empirical investigation.
International Business Management, 12(6), 436-441.
Akram, T., & Das, A. (2014). Understanding the low yields of the long-term Japanese
sovereign debt. Journal of Economic Issues, 48(2), 331-340.
Alagia, R. (1990). The External Debt. In Great Power Relations in Argentina, Chile and
Antarctica (pp. 131-143). London: Palgrave Macmillan UK.
Asafo, S. S., & Matuka, A. (2019). External debt and economic growth in Ghana: a co-
integration and vector error correction analysis. Theoretical and Practical Research in
Economic Fields, 10(1), 45-53.
Awan, A. G., & Qasim, H. M. (2020). The impact of external debt and debt servicing on the
economic growth of Pakistan. Journal of Economic Studies, 47(6), 1-15.
Chinaemerem, O. C., & Anayochukwu, O. B. (2013). Impact of debt servicing on economic
development in Nigeria. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 4(4), 92-98.
Christabell, M. (2013). The relationship between public debt and economic growth in Kenya.
International Journal of Social Sciences and Project Planning Management, 1(1), 1-
Duru, I. U., Okorontah, C. F., Danjuma, I., Nwamuo, C., Promise, U. K., & Favour, O. T.
(2023). Does public debt disrupt economic growth in Nigeria? A two-stage least squares
approach. Economy, 10(1), 39-49.
Egbunike, F. C., Emudainohwo, O. B., & Gunardi, A. (2018). Tax revenue and economic
growth: A study of Nigeria and Ghana. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 7(2), 213-
Eke, C. K., & Akujuobi, N. E. (2021). Public debt and economic growth in Nigeria: An
empirical investigation. International Journal of development and management
review, 16(1), 178-192.
Ekone, F. A., & Amaghinoyeodiwe, I. A. (2020). Does corruption cause economic growth in
Nigeria. Journal of Management, Economic, and Industrial Organization, 4(2), 89-
Ezema, B. I., Ogujiuba, K. K., & Ifionu, E. P. (2018). External debt and economic growth in
Nigeria: An ARDL bounds test approach. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 8(9),
1127-1142.
Fasoye, K., & Olayiwola, A. S. (2024). Effect of Public Debt on Economic Growth in Nigeria
with or without Domestic Investment. NIU Journal of Social Sciences, 10(1), 79-88.
Getinet, A., & Ersumo, G. (2020). External debt and economic growth in Ethiopia: An ARDL
approach. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 10(1), 214-220.
Grace, O. E., Ebele, O. F., & Augustine, O. E. (2019). External debt and economic growth:
The Nigeria experience. International Journal of Economics and Financial
Management, 4(3), 47-58.
Greiner, A. (2007). An endogenous growth model with public capital and sustainable
government debt. The Japanese Economic Review, 58(3), 345-361.
Hameed, A., Ashraf, H., & Chaudhary, M. A. (2008). External debt and its impact on economic
and business growth in Pakistan. International Research Journal of Finance and
Economics, 20(1), 132-140.
Kpalukwu, E., & Ezekwe, C. I. (2023). Understanding the Growth Implications of Debt
Servicing in Nigeria. International Journal of Economics and Business Management
(IJEBM), 9(5),
Krugman, R. (1988). Financing versus forgiving a debt overhang. Journal of Development
Economics, 253-268.
Lee, K., & Thampapillai, D. J. (2016). External debt in macroeconomics: a
review. International Journal of Economics and Business Research, 12(2), 103-118.
Lwanga, M. M., & Mawejje, J. (2014). Macroeconomic Effects of Budget Deficits in Uganda:
A VAR-VECM Approach. Advances in Management & Applied Economics, 4(6), 81-
Manik, N., & Khan, N. A. (2018). Public debt and economic growth in India: Evidence from
Granger causality test. In Challenges and Issues in Indian Fiscal Federalism.
Singapore: Springer.
Musibau, H. O., Mahmood, S., Ismail, S., Shamsuddin, Z., & Rashid, N. (2018). Does external
debt
cause
economic growth? An experience from ECOWAS Member
Countries. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social
Sciences, 8(11), 1256-1264.
Ndu, E. E. (2024). Debt servicing payment: the bane of economic growth in Nigeria.[2005-
2021]. Global Journal of Social Sciences, 23(1), 15-23.
Ndubuisi, P. (2017). External debt and economic growth in Nigeria: A time series econometric
approach. Journal of Developing Areas, 51(3), 41-56.
Ndugbu, M. O., Otiwu, K. C., & Okafor, C. L. (2024). Domestic debt and exchange rate
stability in Nigeria (1980 - 2021). IIARD International Journal of Banking and Finance
Research, 10(2), 1-19.
Nwagu, G. U., Orji, A., Ejike, D. E., & Anthony-Orji, O. I. (2023). Economic growth and FDI
nexus in Nigeria: A new evidence. Journal of Liaoning Technical University, 17(11),
215-235.
Ogbonna, C. A., Okezie, C. A., & Ofoegbu, G. N. (2021). External debt servicing and economic
growth in Nigeria: An ARDL approach. International Journal of Business and
Management, 9(1), 79-92.
Olabode, E. O., & Usenobong, J. E. (2023). A review of external debt servicing and
economic growth in Nigeria. Journal of Academic Research in Economics, 15(1), 1645-
Oloni, E. F. (2013). The impact of economic growth on employment in Nigeria. International
Business and Management, 6(1), 113-119.
Omimakinde, J. A., & Onifade, S. Z. (2022). Relationship between Domestic Debt and
Economic Growth of Nigeria. International Journal of Social Science of Human
Research, 5(6), 2153-2159.
Omodero, C. O., & Alpheaus, O. E. (2019). The effect of foreign debt on the economic growth
of Nigeria. Management Dynamics in the Knowledge Economy, 7(3), 291-306.
Otiko, U. N., & Iheonkhan, I. S. (2022). Debt servicing and economic growth in Nigeria:
Moderating effect of corruption. Baze University Journal of Entrepreneurship and
Interdisciplinary Studies (BUJEIS), 1(1), 104-115.
Rahman, M. M., Rayhan, I., & Sultana, N. (2023). How does electricity affect economic
growth? Examining the role of government policy to selected four South Asian
countries. Energies, 16(3), 1417.
Saungweme, T., & Odhiambo, N. M. (2019). Government debt, government debt service and
economic growth nexus in Zambia: A multivariate analysis. Cogent Economics &
Finance, 7(1), 1622998.
Shkolnyk, I., & Koilo, V. (2018). The relationship between external debt and economic
growth: Empirical evidence from Ukraine and other emerging economies.
Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 15(1), 387-400.
Statista (2024). Nigeria: Growth rate of the real gross domestic product (GDP) from 2019 to
Available
[Online]
at:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/382360/gross-
domestic-product-gdp-growth-rate-in-nigeria/
Sunday, D., Onyeka, C.M., & Ugorji, C.N (2024). Financial management practices and
profitability of listed deposit money banks in Nigeria. Journal of Accounting and
Financial Management 10(4) 2695-2211.
Sunday, D. & Agubata, N.S. (2023). Effect of management efficiency on performance of
listed consumer goods companies in Nigeria. International Journal of Economics and
Business Management 9(3) 2489-0065
The Cable. (2023). DMO pegs debt service-to-revenue ratio at 73.5%, says it’s unsustainable.
Available [Online] at: https://www.thecable.ng/dmo-pegs-debt-service-to-revenue-
r


DOWNLOAD PDF

Back