INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCES AND MANAGEMENT RESEARCH (IJSSMR )

E-ISSN 2545-5303
P-ISSN 2695-2203
VOL. 8 NO. 4 2022
DOI: https://doi.org/10.56201/ijssmr.v8.no4.2022.pg98.115


Systematic Review of Nexus between Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Stock Market Price Movements: Flow Oriented Theory, Stock Oriented Theory and Portfolio Balance Theory

EFUNTADE, Alani Olusegun, FCIB, ACA, EFUNTADE, Olubunmi Omotayo, PhD.


Abstract


The study investigated literatures on nexus between exchange rate fluctuations and stock market price movements: flow oriented theory, stock oriented theory and portfolio balance theory. It was discovered that many studies predominantly found out statistically significant positive nexus between exchange rate fluctuations and stock market price movements (Parsva & Lean, 2017; Mechri, Ben Hamad, De Peretti & Charfi, 2018; Morales-Zumaquero & Sosvilla-Rivero, 2018; Bahrnani-Oskooee & Saha,2016; Ho & Huang,2015; Sui & Sun,2016; Mroua & Trabelsi,2019; Nazakat & Kashif,2017; Yildirim & Adali, 2018; Fapetu, Adeyeye, Seyingbo & Owoeye,2017; Okechukwu, Mbadike, Geoffrey & Ozurunma,2019; Bagh, Azad, Razzaq, Liaqat & Khan,2017; Alzyoud, Wang & Basso, 2018) while very scanty and few studies revealed a negative significant relationship and statistically insignificant. Various studies conducted shows different results on asymmetric and symmetric effects and causality: bidirectional, unidirectional and no causality between exchange rate fluctuations and stock market price movements. Some results support the ?ow oriented theory, some are for the stock oriented theory and portfolio balance theory while others believe that three theories are functional in an economy. Variation in these studies could be as a result of methodology used, market condition, risk and other factors that are peculiar to each economy. The study discovered other factors namely GDP of a country, level of employment, companies business internal ?nancing structure, investment inflow, inflation rates, oil prices, government expenditure, in?ation rate, interest rate, and exchange rate that have effect on stock market movements. The empirical studies examined recommended as follows: Regulators should consider developing sound policy measures to prevent ?nancial risk. The public who desire to invest must utilize the information of important macro-economic variable in particular exchange rates vol


keywords:

exchange rate fluctuations, flow oriented theory, portfolio balance theory, stock oriented theory and stock market price movement. JEL classification codes: F31,O16,E44,E12


References:


Abbas, Z. (2010). Dynamics of exchange rate and stock index: a study on emerging
Asian economies (doctoral dissertation, Mohammad Ali Jinnah university Islamabad).

Adebiyi, A. A., Ayo, C. K. & Otokiti, S. O. (2009). Stock price prediction using hybridized
market indicators. Proceedings of International Conference of Artificial Intelligence and
Pattern Recognition,2009(USA),372-379.

Aggarwal, R. (1981). Exchange rates and stock prices: A study of the US capital markets under
floating exchange rates. Akron Business and Economic Review, 12,7-12.

Agyei, S. K., Bossman, I. A., Asafo—Adjei, E., Asiainah, L., Adela, V. & Adorm-Takyi, C.
(2022). Exchange rate, covid-19, and stock returns in Africa: insights from time-
frequency domain. Hindawi Discrete Dyinaniics in Nature and Society,2(4),20-40.

Alashi, M. (2022). The impact of exchange rate fluctuations on the market’s index at emerging
market: evidence from Palestine. European Journal of Business and Management
Research,7( 1),1-12.
Aliyu, S. U. R (2009). Oil price shocks and the macroeconomy of Nigeria: A non-linear
approach. Munich Personal Repec Archive, MPRA Paper No. 18726

Al-majali, A. A., & Al-Assaf, G. I. (2014). Long-run and short-run relationship between stocks
market index and main macroeconomic variables performance in Jordan. European
Scientific Journal, 10(10),1-12.

Alzyoud, H., Wang, E. Z., & Basso, M. G. (2018). Dynamics of Canadian oil price and its
impacts on exchange rate and stock market. International Journal of Energy Economics
and Policy,8(3),107-114.

Aydemir, O., & Demirhan, E. (2009). The relationship between stock prices and exchange rates
evidence from Turkey. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics,
23(2009),208-214.
Bagh, T., Azad, T., Razzaq, S., Liaqat, I., & Khan, M. A. (2017). The impact of exchange rate
volatility on stock index: evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). International
Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 7(3),
70-86.

Bahmani-Oskooee, M. & Saha, S. (2016). Do exchange rate changes have symmetric or
asymmetric effects on stock prices? Global finance journal, 31,57-72.

Bala-Sani, A.R., & Hassan, A. (2018). Exchange rate and stock market interactions: Evidence
from Nigeria. Arabian Journal of Business and Management Review,8(1), 1-5.

Branson, W. H. (1983). Macroeconomic determinants of real exchange rate risk. Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge, Ma.
Branson, W., I-ialttunsen, H., & Masson, P. (1977). Exchange rate in the short run: The dollar-
Deutsche. Applied economics, 24,459-464.

Brown, A. A. (1990). Evidence that stock prices do not fully reflect the implications of current
earnings for future earnings. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 13(4),305-340
.
Caporale, G.M., Ali, E. M. & Spagnolo, N. (2015). Exchange rate uncertainty and international
portfolio flows: A multivariate GARCH-in-mean approach. Journal of International
Money and Finance,54,70-92.


DOWNLOAD PDF

Back


Google Scholar logo
Crossref logo
ResearchGate logo
Open Access logo
Google logo