INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT (IJEFM )
E-ISSN 2545-5966
P-ISSN 2695-1932
VOL. 4 NO. 1 2019
Mboto, H. W. & Edom, E. O.
External debt is a very important area in any country for boosting the economic activities. It is contradictory whether external debt stimulates economic growth or hinders growth. Some researchers found positive relationship, some negative and some no significant relationship between external debt and economic growth for different economic conditions. This study examined the impact of external debt on the growth of the Nigeria economy, using time series data from 1980 – 2013. The objectives of the study were to ascertain the relationship between short-term eternal debt and the performance of the Nigerian economy and to ascertain the effect of medium and long-term external debt on the growth of the Nigerian economy. To achieve the above objectives, the study employed the ordinary least squares (OLS) to obtain estimates of the parameters of economic relationship from statistical observations. The quantitative results based on this method showed that short-term external debt has a negative impact on the growth of the Nigerian economy. Furthermore, the result showed the existence of a negative and inverse relationship between medium and long-term debt and economic growth in Nigeria. Based on the findings, it was recommended that since external debts are meant to boost the economic growth and development of the debtor country and improve the standard of living of the citizenry, the Nigerian government should always consider the debts as means to long-run development, not just for solving short-run problems, as this will affect the amount of resources to be generated to pay back the debts at maturity. The negative impact of medium and long-term external debt on economic growth in Nigeria calls for appropriate policy actions to be taken to reverse this trend. There is need for the Nigerian government to probe the reasons behind the non-contribution of external debt to GDP growth of the country so as to unveil the bottlenecks and correct them. Finally, government should ens
External debt, Debt management, Debt overhang, Debt Management, Fiscal deficit, Debt forgiveness, Economic growth.
Agenor, P. R. & Montiel P. J. (1996) Development macroeconomics. Princeton: Princeton
University press.
Ajayi S. l. & Khan, M.S. (2005). External debt and capital flight in sub-Saharan Africa.
international monetary fund working paper 68,1-18.
Ajayi, L. B. & Oke, M. O. (2012). Effect of External Debt on Economic Growth and
Development of Nigeria; International Journal of Business and social science, 3 (12)
21-29.
Ajayi, O.A.(2003, Nov.19). Debt management in a distressed economy: Nigeria as a case
study. paper presented at the training programme of the Institute of Certified
Accountant of Nigeria, Lagos Airport Hotel, Ikeja, Nigeria.
Akenroye, 0. & Ojong C. (2002) Strategies for managing Nigeria's external debt. Debt
management office monthly seminar series, 7,20-22.
Alison J.(2001) Key issues for analyzing domestic debt sustainability. Debt Relief International
5,201-213.
Anyanwu, J.C. (1993) Monetary Economic: Theory, policy and institutions. Onitsha: Joance
educational publishing Ltd.
Asogwa, R.C. & Ezema C.C. (2004). Domestic government debt structure, risk characteristic
and monetary policy conduct; evidence from Nigeria Journal of Bonking and Finance
4(2), 13-21.
Audu, I. (2004). The Impact of External Debt on Economic Growth and Public Investment. The
case of Nigeria, African Institute for Economic development and planning (IDEP),
Dakar.
Ayadi, F. S. & Ayadi F. S. & Ayadi, F. O. (2008). The Impact of External Debt on Economic
Growth: A Comparative Study of Nigeria and South Africa, Journal of Sustainable
Development in Africa 10 (3) 234-264.
Ayayi, S.I. (1991). Macroeconomic approach to external debt: The case of Nigeria. African
Economic Research Consortium. Research Paper, 8,116-122.
Bauer P. (1991). The development frontier: essays in applies economic hempstead:
harvester/wheat sheaf.
Borensztem, E. (1990). Debt overhang, debt reduction and investment: The case of
Philippines. International Monetary Fund Working Paper, 77,10-16.
CBN annual report and statement of accounts 2002. CBN, annual report and statement of
account, 2011. CBN, Statistical Bulletin, December, 2010.
Christensen, J. (2004). Domestic debt markets in sub-Sahara Africa. International Monetary
Fund Working Paper, 46(6),8-110.
Claessens, S. (1996). Analytical aspects of the debt problems of heavily indebted poor
Countries. A paper presented at IMF/world bank seminar held in Nairobi Kenya.
Clements, B., Rina B., C., & Toan Q. N. (2005) Can debt relief Boost growth in poor
Countries. IMF Economic Issues 34(17).
Cohen, D. (1993) Low investment and large LDC debt in the 1980s. The American Economic
Review, 19,99-113.
DAIZ, A. (1984) Latin American debt: I don't think we are in Kansas anymore. brookings
paper on economic Activity 1, 33-89.
Debt management office (2004): Annual report for the Year ended. December 31, 2004. Abuja:
Debt Management Office.
Debt Management Offices (March, 2013).
Degete, B. (1992). Growth and foreign debt: The Ethiopia experience. African Economic
Research Consortium research paper, 13, 89-99.
Economic commission for African (1999, may 6-8). The joint conference of African ministers
of finance and ministers economic development and planning: economic commission
for Africa's (EGA) thirty-third session of the commission/twenty fourth meeting of the
conference of ministers/seventh conference of African ministers of finance, Addis
Ababa, Ethiopia.
Elbadawi, A.I. Ndulu, J.B. & Ndung' U.N. (1996, December 16) Debt overhang and economic
growth in sub-Sahara Africa. A paper presented to the IMF/world rank conference on
external finance for low income countries in Washington DC.
Essien, E. & Onwioduokit, 1989). Recent developments in developments in econometrics: An
application to financial liberation and saving in Nigeria. NDIC Quaterly, 8(112)
Etuk E.J. (2010), Business Research Methods: Concepts, Process and Applications. Calabar:
University of Calabar press.
Fajana B. O. (1993): An Overview of external debt and investment in Nigeria. Journal of
Economic development. (12) 22-28
Garba, A.G. (1998). Nigerian domestic debt: resolution of the stock-flow and Generation of
credible data set, Nigerian Journal of Economic and Social Studies 40(3),313-350.
Gohar, M. Bhutto, N. A. & Butt, F. (2012). The Impact of the External Debt Servicing on the
Growth of low income countries. Sukkur Institute of Business Administration,
proceedings of 2nd international conference on Business Management 2 (2) 969-978.
Griffith J. & Sunkel (1986). Debt and development crisis in Latin America: The end of an
illusion. Oxford: Clarendin Press.
International Monetary fund (2001b).100 percent debt cancellation. A response from the IMF
and the World Bank. a fact sheet Washington, DC. international monetary fund.
International Monetary Fund (2001a). Debt relief under the heavily indebted poor countries
(HIPC) initiative. A fact sheet. Washington, DC. international monetary fund.
Iyoha, M. A. (1999). External Debt Economic Growth in Sub-Sahara African countries. AERC
Research paper.
Kasidi, F. & Said, A. M. (2013). Impact of External Debt on Economic Growth: A case study
of Tanzania: Advances in Management & Applied Economics, 3(4) 59-82
Khan, M. (1991) Macroeconomic policies and long-term growth. African Economic
Consortium Special Paper, 13,215-222.
Koutsoyiannis, A. (1977). Theory of Econometrics: Macmillan Press, London
Kruma, K.I. (1980), The external debt in Sub-Sahara African world bank staff working paper,
741(2), 10-28.
lyoha M. A. (1997)"An econometric study of debt overhang and Economic Growth in Nigeria".
Ibadan National center for economic management and administration (NCEMA)
monograph series 80.
lyoha, M.A. (1996). External debt and economic growth in Sub-Sahara African countries. An
econometric study. A paper presented at African economic research consortium
workshop, Nairobi.
Muhter, C. A. (2004). The Impact of External Debt on Economic Growth in Kenya: An
Empirical Assessment Paper, DP 2001 (116).
Nyong, M.O. (2001). Public policy, public sector economics and management in Nigeria;
Calabar. University of Calabar Press.
Nyong, M. 0. (2005). International Economics. Theory, Policy and Applications. Calabar:
Wusen publishers.
Obadan, M. I (2000): “External Sector Policies in the 1997 CBN bullion, 24, (2) 39-43.
Odozi, V.A. (1996). Nigeria's domestic public debt stock: an assessment, bullion, 20(2), 11-
23.
Ojo, A. T. (2007), "Economic implications of debt relief and banking reform in Nigeria/ paper
presented at the banking and finance seminar, University of Ado-Ekiti September 13,
2007.
Okorunmu, T.O. (1992). A review of developments domestic debt in Nigeria, 1989-1991.
central bank of Nigeria research department occasional Paper, 33,10-14.
Omoleye, O. R., Sharma, H. P., Ngassam, C. & Eseonu, M. C. (2006). Sub-Saharan African
Debt Crisis: Analysis and forecast based on Nigeria, managerial finance 32 (7) 602-
606.
Onah (2005): Nigeria, Paris club sign debt deal: This Newspaper Lagos.
Onoh, J.K. (2007). Dimensions of Nigeria's monetary and fiscal policies, domestic and
external. Astra Meridian Publishers Aba.
Owasanoya, B.(2004, December 6-10). The loyal aspect of debt and financial management.
Paper presented at a Seminar for officials from the Nigerian debt management office
held at Geneva, Switzerland.
Pattilo, C., Poirson H., & Ricci L. (2002), "External Debt and Growth", IMF Working Paper
2(69).
Sachs J. (1989). Development Country Debt and the World Economy. Chicago: University of
Chicago Press/NBER.
Salawu, R.O. (2005) Essentials of Public Finance Ife; Obafemi Awolowo University press Ltd
lle-lfe.
Sanusi, J. O., (1988): “Genesis of Nigeria’s debt problems and prospects for debt conversion”.
A lecture delivered on debt Conversion/Asset Trading organized by Contine