IIARD International Journal of Economics and Business Management (IJEBM )
E-ISSN 2489-0065
P-ISSN 2695-186X
VOL. 4 NO. 4 2018
Richard Osadume, FCIB, Ph.D
This Study examined the Effect of Interest rate mechanism on Economic Development of Nigeria (1986-2016). The objective of this study was to examine the Effects of Discount rates measured by interest rates and monetary policy rates on economic development of Nigeria. The Keynesian liquidity theory, on which this work was anchored believe that interest rate is a function of the demand for and the supply of money; Changes in interest rate will result from changes in supply of money and proportionate change in Economic Development of a country but some available findings from studies appear to disagree with this proposition. The study used secondary data sourced from World Bank, UNDP, Bureau of Statistics and the Central Bank of Nigeria; The research work selected Nigeria as its sample and used the OLS, Co-integration, Granger-causality and Error Correction model data Analysis techniques, to test the Effect of the independent variables (interest rates and Monetary policy rates) on the dependent variable, economic development (proxy by Human Development index) and tested at the 5% level of significance. The findings showed that discount rates represented by interest and monetary policy rates; both had significant effect in the short-run and showed positive and significant effect in the long-run on economic development with significant speed of adjustments. The study concludes that discount rate instruments such as interest and monetary policy rates have significant effect on economic development and recommends amongst others that discount rates should be environment and Business-friendly and predictable in line with prevailing economic dictates and as much as feasible government fiat should be reduced in arriving at monetary rates
Adamson, Y. K. (2000), Structure Disequilibrium and Inflation in Nigeria; A Theoretical and
Empirical Analysis. Centre for Economic Research on Africa. New Jessy 07043; Montclair
State University, Upper Montclair.
Adeyeye, P. O., Ayorinde, O. O., and Ajinaja, T. (2013). Effects of the Proposed
Removal of CBN Autonomy on Nigerian Economy; International Journal of Business
and Management Review, 2,(2), 79-88.
Adofu, I. (2010). Accelerating Economic Growth in Nigeria, The Role of Foreign Direct
Investment. Current Research Journal of Economic Theory 2(1): 11-15.
and Macroeconomic Performance: Some comparative Evidence, Journal of Money,
Credit and Banking, volume 25, no 2.
Adofu, I.M. and Audu, S. I. (2010). An Assessment of the Effects of Interest Rate Agenor, E.
A. and Montiel, C. F. (1996). Development Macroeconomics. Princeton, NJ:
Princeton University Press.
Agenor, P. and Hoffmaister, A.W. (1997). Money, Wages and Inflation in Middle-Income
Developing Countries. IMF Working Paper: WP/97/174.
Aigbokhan, B.E. (1995). The Relative Impact of Monetary and Fiscal Action on Economic
Activity: Evidences from Developed and Less Developed Countries. Department of
Economic, Paisley College, Paisley, Scotland.
Ajayi, I. (1999). Evolution and functions of central banks. Central Bank of Nigeria Economic
and financial Review, 37 (4): 11-27
Anyanwu, J.C. (1993). Monetary Economics: Theory, Policy and Institutions. Onitsha:
Hybrid Publishers
Babatunde, M. A. and Adefabi, R. A. (2005). Long Run Relationship Between Education and
Economic Growth in Nigeria: Evidence from the Johansen?s Co-integration
Approach. Paper presented at the Regional Conference on Education in West Africa:
Constraints and Opportunities Dakar, Senegal.
Babatunde, W. A. and Olufemi, M. S. (2014). Monetary Policy Shock and Exchange
Rate Volatility in Nigeria, Asian Economic and Financial Review; 4(4), 54-562
Bassey, G. E. and Onwioduokit, E.A. (2011). An Analysis of the Threshold Effects of
Inflation on Economic Growth in Nigeria, WAIFEM Review, Vol. 8, No. 2
Bourbonnais, R. (2002). Econometrics. Manual and corrected exercises. 4th Edn., Paris:
Dunod
Bruno, M. and Easterly, W. (1998). Inflation Crisis and Long-Run Growth, Journal of
Monetary Economics, Vol. 41
Busari, D., Omoke, P., and Adesoye, B. (2002). Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic
Stabilization under Alternative Exchange Rate Regime: Evidence from Nigeria.
P. (1987). Monetarism, The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics, v. 3,
Reprinted in John Eatwell et al. (1989). Money: The New Palgrave, pp. 195–205
& 492–497
Calvo, G. and Reinhart, C. (2002). Fear of Floating. Quarterly Journal of Economics.
117(2):408p.
Canova, F. (2005). The Transmission of US Shocks to Latin America. Journal of Applied
Econometrics 20, 229 – 251.
Capasso, S. (2006). Stock Market Development and Economic Growth, Research
Paper.No.2006/102,United Nations University, World Institute for Development
21(1).
Central Bank of Nigeria Annual Report and Statement of Accounts, CBN, Abuja – years
2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015.
Chandler, L. (1976). Monetary Policy International Encyclopaedia of Social Science vol. 10
Chan, K. and Tsay, R.S. (1998). Limiting Properties of the Least Squares Estimator of a
Continuous Threshold Autoregressive Model, Biometrika, 85(2). 413-426
Chen, H, and Chen, C. (2007). Oil Prices and Real Exchange Rate, Energy Economics,
29, 390 – 404
Cheung, Yin-Wong (2009). On the Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle. Journal of International
Economics, 52: 321– 30.
Chick, V. (1983). Macroeconomics after Keynes, The MIT Press Cambridge,
Massachusetts.
Chimobi, O. P. and Uche, U. C. (2010). Money, Price and Output. A Causality Test for
Nigeria. American Journal of Scientific Research, 8: 78-87
Christopher, E. A. (2006). Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Interactions: New
Zealand Evidence. Journal of Investment, Management and Financial Innovation,
3(4): 234-240.
Chuku, A. C. (2009). Measuring the Effect of Monetary Policy Innovations in Nigeria: A
Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) Approach. African Journal of
Accounting, Economics, Finance and Banking Research, 595: 13-28.
Chukuigwe, E.C. and Abili, I.D. (2008). An Econometric Analysis of the Impact of
Monetary and Fiscal Policies on Non-Oil Exports in Nigeria: 1974-2003, African
Economic and Business Review, 6(2): 59-64
Cittadino, F., Di-Felice, A., and Paulus, N. (2007). The Quantity Theory of Money: Keynes vs
Hayek. University of Trento, Italy.
Cuningham, J., Wood, R., and Woods N. (1990). Milton Friedman: Critical Assessments
Psychology Press, 1990 - Business & Economics
Deregulation in Enhancing Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria. Curr. Res. J. Econ.
Theory, 2(2): 82-86.
Dada, E. A. and Oyeranti, O. A. (2012). Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Aggregates in
Nigeria. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development. Vol. 3, no. 2, pp. 93 –
101.
Daferighe, E. E. and Aje, S. O. (2009). An Impact Analysis of Real Gross Domestic Product,
Inflation and Interest rates on stock prices of quoted companies in Nigeria.
International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 25 (53), 63.
Dalgaard, L. (1987). Monetary Policy Rules Based on Real-Time Data, American Economic
Review.
David, O.J., Umeh, C., and Abu A.A (2010). The Effect of Exchange Rate Fluctuations on
the Nigerian Management Sector, African Journal of Business management,
4(10),2994-2998.
Dickey, D. and Fuller, W. (1981). Likelihood Ratio statistics for Autoregressive Time series
with unit Root. Econometrica. 83. (49)
Ditimi A., Nwosa, P. I and Olaiya, S. A. (2011). An Appraisal of Monetary Policy and Its
Effect on Macroeconomic Stabilization in Nigeria, Journal of Emerging Trends in
Economics and Management Science, 2(3), 232-237.
Dornbusch, R., Fischer, S., and Starz, R. (1998). Macroeconomics, McGraw- Hill.
Dow, S C (1997). Endogenous money, in G C Harcourt and P A Riach (Eds), A Second
Edition? of The General Theory.
Economic Confidential (2010), Various Issues.
Edoumiekumo, S. G. and Opukri, C. O. (2013). Economic Growth Factor in Nigeria: The
Role Global Trade, American Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 1(2) 51-55
Edwards, S. and Eduardo Levy Yeyati. (2005). Flexible Exchange Rates as Shock
Absorbers, European Economic Review, 49(8): 2079-2105
Elgar, E. (2006). Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Systems; A Global View of Financial
Crises; MPG Books Limited, Bodmin, Cornwal, Great Britain.
Elumelu, T. (2002). Interest and Exchange Rate Management in Nigeria. A paper delivered at
the inaugural lecture of the Alumnus Guest Lecture series of the Department of
Economics, Ambrose Ali University, Ekpoma, June 24.
Eme, O. A. and Johnson, A. A. (2012) Effect of Exchange Rate Movements on Economic
Growth in Nigeria. CBN Journal of Applied Statistics, 2 (2), 1-2
Emefiele, G. (2015). Central Bank of Nigeria Communiqué No. 104 of the Monetary Policy
Committee Meeting of Monday and Tuesday, November 23 and 24, 2015
Engle, R.F. and Granger, C.W.J. (1987). Cointegration and Error Correction: Representation,
Estimation, and Testing, Econometrica,55, 251-276.
Engle, R.F. and Granger, C.W.J. (1991). Long-Run Economic Relationships, Readings in
Cointegration, Oxford University Press
Eregha, P. B. (2010). Interest Rate Variation and Investment Determination in Nigeria.
International Business Management 4(2): 41-46
Fakiyesi, H. M. and Adeyeye (1996). Further Empirical Analysis of Inflation in Nigeria
CBN Economic and Financial Review, vol. 34 no. 1 March
Fapetu, O. and Oloyede, J. A. (2014). Foreign Exchange Management and the Nigerian
Economic Growth (1960 -2012), European Journal of Business and Innovation
Research, Vol. 2, No. 2, pp. 19-31
Faria, J. R. and Carneiro, F. G. (2001). Does High Inflation Affect Growth in the Long